Power transition in Türkiye and the credibility of the opposition

The world and Türkiye are at a new turning point that could have dire consequences. This is one of those rare moments in history where we are teetering on the edge, both globally and locally. Prospect of a change in power brings hope for reform in Türkiye but it also brings risks.

Many struggle to accept this reality, but we are indeed undergoing a dangerous transformation in almost every area. Geopolitical conflicts are accelerating, with talk of regional wars breaking out and even some countries facing disintegration.

In the coming period, a sharp economic crisis is expected worldwide, including in Türkiye, one that may make the 1928 depression, which laid the groundwork for World War II, seem mild in comparison.

Major natural disasters triggered by climate change are looming; the risks of pandemics and vulnerabilities are more alive than ever. The dominance of artificial intelligence, cyber-attacks, and shortages of food, water, and energy have become pressing topics. Amidst all these crises, current democratic governance models unfortunately fail to produce effective and swift solutions.

Will there be a power change amid global turmoil?

The public is weary. We are becoming disillusioned with politics, and we can’t bring quality to the forefront.

For this reason, the rise of authoritarian regimes is being observed in many corners of the world. The lack of leaders with smart, strategic thinking skills and strong foresight is evident everywhere.

On one hand, we have ineffective Western leaders like Joe Biden, Emmanuel Macron, Olaf Scholz, and Keir Starmer; on the other, strong authoritarian leaders who have left their mark on their countries such as Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Narendra Modi, Tayyip Erdoğan, and Viktor Orbán.

Facing such a world, we don’t have the luxury of making empty speeches or creating unnecessary polemics; we must take solid steps domestically, both in the economy and in political stability and security. If the ground remains slippery, a downfall is inevitable.

Instead of succumbing to despair, we must find ways to take proactive and bold initiatives to minimize the damage that global and local dynamics can cause.

Türkiye is trying to shape its own future under the shadow of this global turmoil. Whether AKP’s 23-year rule will come to an end and how the opposition will steer the country out of this chaos remains a great mystery.

Economic and political crises: The realities of Türkiye

Türkiye’s current economic crisis deeply affects not only low-income groups but a wide section of society. Inflation, unemployment, insufficient growth, and the foreign debt crisis raise serious concerns about Türkiye’s economic future.

As part of the global economy, Türkiye is being deeply shaken by these upheavals.

But the problem is not limited to the economy. Türkiye’s democratic structure is also at the center of heavy criticism. The erosion of the rule of law, questioning of judicial independence, and restrictions on press freedom are causing deep wounds in democracy.

This negative picture weakens Türkiye’s reputation not only domestically but also internationally. Regional instabilities, uncertainties in crisis areas like Syria, Libya, and the Black Sea, leave major question marks about Türkiye’s future.

The balance sheet of 23 years of power

AKP, as the longest-ruling party in the history of the Republic, has led Türkiye through deep transformations in every area.

In its first two terms, bold steps in infrastructure and freedoms gained great public support. The “zero problems with neighbors” policy, although ultimately unworkable, was recorded in history as a significant strategic move in foreign policy.

However, in recent years, economic contraction, political uncertainty, and social unrest have caused challenges, and a growing sense of political and social instability have pushed the country into a critical phase. The possibility of a change in power presents both opportunities and risks for Türkiye.

On the one hand, a new leadership could bring the necessary reforms and innovations to address the country’s deep-rooted issues. There is potential for rebuilding the economy, restoring trust in democratic institutions, and redefining Türkiye’s position on the global stage. A fresh approach to governance could also help address the challenges of climate change, energy shortages, and technological advancements like artificial intelligence.

What will opposition do?

However, on the other hand, a change in leadership also carries risks, especially if the opposition is not fully prepared or united. The opposition’s internal struggles and leadership disputes, as seen within the CHP, could weaken its ability to govern effectively.

Moreover, if the new government fails to deliver quick and credible solutions to the pressing issues of the economy, justice system, and foreign policy, it could lead to further political fragmentation and social unrest.

Türkiye is at a crossroads. The choices made in the coming years, both by the current government and the opposition, will have long-lasting consequences. To navigate this critical period successfully, Türkiye needs strong, visionary leadership that can unite the nation and engage with global powers on equal footing.

In summary, while the prospect of a change in power brings hope for reform, it also highlights the immense challenges that lie ahead. The opposition’s ability to present a coherent, actionable plan and to offer capable leadership will be crucial in determining whether Türkiye can overcome its current crises and emerge stronger on the other side.