Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis and Forecast: Insightful reporting of Turkish diplomacy with its ups and downs in relations with the U.S., Russia the Europe and the Islamic World.

Casus Belli Ahead of Mitsotakis–Erdoğan Talks?”

“Casus belli” is one of the hundreds of terms Latin has contributed to international law. When pronounced in Turkish exactly…

2 weeks ago

ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix

In mathematics, when solving systems of equations with multiple unknowns, there is the concept of a “temporary variable,” or in…

3 weeks ago

Why Trump’s Greenland Ambition Matters for NATO, China, Russia and Türkiye

When you rotate the Google Earth application 90 degrees vertically instead of horizontally, the map above appears, clearly revealing why…

1 month ago

Uneasy Turkish Silence on the U.S. Muscling in on Venezuela

The reactions—both spoken and unspoken—of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Türkiye’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) following U.S. President…

1 month ago

Is Greece an ally of Türkiye or of Israel?

Ankara did not take seriously—did not even consider a threat—the attempt by Israel, Greece, and Southern Cyprus to form an…

2 months ago

A Dangerous Game: Israel–Greece–Southern Cyprus vs. Türkiye

On December 22, the very day Ankara virtually launched an SDF-focused diplomatic offensive toward Damascus, Israel formed an anti-Türkiye alliance…

2 months ago

Ankara Hardens Its Stance as SDF and Israel Challenge Syria Policy

Tension over Syria is rising in Ankara on two interconnected levels. One is the military pressure Israel is exerting on…

2 months ago

Can Türkiye and Israel Afford a Permanent Rupture?

Türkiye and Israel are weathering one of the most acrimonious periods in their modern diplomatic history. The humanitarian catastrophe in…

2 months ago

Europe’s focus shifts from Turkish democracy to security in 7 points.

About ten years ago, caricatures of “Sultan Erdoğan” were popular in the Western European press. President Tayyip Erdoğan, who was…

4 months ago

US-Turkish LNG Deal: Let the Numbers and Geopolitics Speak

The 20-year Turkish-US deal signed in Washington on September 25 during Turkish President Tayyip Erdoğan’s meeting with US President Donald…

5 months ago