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Murat Yetkin
29 March 2024, Friday / Published in Politics

Surmounting obstacles: Potential impact of Imamoğlu’s victory

We are heading towards one of the most unfair and unequal elections in our history on March 31st. Despite its being a local elections, its results will have profound effects on Turkish poltical landscape, especially in Istanbul. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan seems to have mobilized the entire state machinery to prevent the re-election of Istanbul’s
AKPCHPEkrem İmamoğluErdoğanİstanbullocal electionsMurat KurumpoliticsTurkeyTurkish politics
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Murat Yetkin
27 March 2024, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors

ISIS Moscow attack: A shift in targets, strategy or sponsor?

Since the bloody attack on the concert hall in Moscow, I have been speaking with sources from the intelligence, security, and diplomatic circles. The point they all converge on is that the March 22 attack of the ISIS Khorasan province branch, (ISIS-K) which killed 139 people in Moscow, differs from known ISIS actions in terms
attackCrocous City Hallisisisis-kKhorasanMoscowmoscow attackRussiaTerrorTurkeyTürkiye
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Murat Yetkin
26 March 2024, Tuesday / Published in Politics

The Moscow attackers’ path from Türkiye to Russia: More questions

Russian authorities announced that as of the evening of March 25th, the number of casualties from the attack on a concert hall in Moscow on the evening of March 22 had reached 139, with nearly 140 injured. Three days after the attack, Russian President Vladimir Putin acknowledged that “radical Islamists” carried out the attack, which
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Murat Yetkin
25 March 2024, Monday / Published in Politics

Erdoğan couldn’t get half of the support he targeted in Istanbul rally

Turkish President Tayyip Erdoğan complained on March 24 that the participation to his “Great İstanbul Again” rally ahead of the March 31 local elections was less than the half of what he had expected. In fact, he should be grateful that hundreds and thousand of his supporters were there despite the disappointment of the ongoing
31 MarchAK PartiEkrem İmamoğluelectionsİstanbullocal electionsMurat KurumrallyTurkeyturkish local elections
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Murat Yetkin
22 March 2024, Friday / Published in Politics

Pro-Kurdish DEM was hoping a “dialogue call” but PKK called for war

Last weekend, Murat Karayılan, one of the leaders of the outlawed Kurdistan Worker’s Party (PKK), announced that he would deliver “good news” soon, which drew attention to what he would reveal. On one hand, Newroz was approaching, and Kurdish-issue focused People’s Equality and Democracy Party (DEM) had organized rallies spreading throughout the week, while on
DEMKurdishLeyla ZanaMurat KarayılanPKKTurkish electionsTurkish UAVs
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Murat Yetkin
20 March 2024, Wednesday / Published in Politics

Far-reaching consequences: two scenarios of Istanbul’s Mayoral race

Ever since Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan launched the election campaign with the motto “reconquering Istanbul,” it has been clear that the real competition in the upcoming March 31 local elections will be for the Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality. Now, with almost a week left until the election, this race is neck and neck. It is
AnkaraCHPErdoğanİmamoğluİstanbullocal electionsMarch 31TurkeyTurkish domestic politicsTurkish politicsTürkiye
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Murat Yetkin
15 March 2024, Friday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Potential Türkiye-Iraq agreement: A game-changer in the Middle East

Top-level Turkish security delegation’s visit to Baghdad on March 14 should be considered as a significant step towards a comprehensive Türkiye Iraq agreement ahead of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s expected visit to Iraq in April after 12 years. The rapprochement and establishment of strategic political and economic relations between Türkiye and Iraq appear to
bağdatiraqMiddle EastPKKsecuritySyriaTerrorTurkeyTürkiyeUS
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Murat Yetkin
15 March 2024, Friday / Published in Politics

Behind the scenes: Recent Dollar surge and decoding Şimşek’s statement

  On March 11th, Monday, the Turkish Lira hit a record low against the US dollar; at one point, 1 dollar surpassed 32 lira. Similarly, the British Pound exceeded 41 lira, and the Euro went over 35 lira, prompting a statement from the Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek. There was no apparent reason for
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Murat Yetkin
11 March 2024, Monday / Published in Politics

Is President Tayyip Erdoğan pursuing a ‘lifelong’ rule?

The time has come to ask whether President Tayyip Erdoğan is pursuing a “lifelong” rule. No, not only because of his statement during the peak of the ruling Justice and Develpment Party’s (AKP) election campaign, saying, “This is my last election.” This wasn’t the first time Erdoğan had uttered “This election is my last,” subtly
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Murat Yetkin
11 March 2024, Monday / Published in Politics

Turkey-US relations: overcoming the major hurdle to turn a new page

Turkish Foreign Minsiter Hakan Fidan had a meeting with his US counterpart Antony Blinken in Washington on March 8. “There is an opportunity to continue our path by opening a new page with a positive agenda,” he said in a press conference following the meeting and other discussions and contacts. Türkiye-US relations were a “historic”
BlinkencounterterrorismFidanPKKSDFSyriaUS-TurkeyYPG
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  • Five Lessons from Israel’s strike on Iran, one is about Türkiye14 June 2025
  • Ankara watched Israel’s Iran attack: 200 jets in 6 waves, local support13 June 2025
  • Proving it can disrupt the game if not invited: unseen power of Türkiye28 May 2025
  • Pro-gov’t paper Yeni Şafak slams Turkish economy: an anti-Şimşek op27 May 2025
  • US Ambassador Barrack: Syria will not be divided, no new Sykes-Picot26 May 2025
  • Özel to Erdoğan: “You are a local dictator. You will leave as you came.”20 May 2025
  • UK-Türkiye: More than just a free trade agreement on the horizon20 May 2025
  • Towards a simultaneous solution to Ukraine, Syria and the Kurdish issues16 May 2025
  • The PKK’s decision to dissolve and questions to the Turkish government13 May 2025
  • Turkish public awareness of the disbanding of the PKK is low: survey13 May 2025
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