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Turkish Domestic Politics: Analysis and forecast on all relevant developments and insight about Turkish politics with its repercussions in its neighboring countries

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Mehmet Öğütçü
19 January 2026, Monday / Published in Politics

Greece’s Statements on the Aegean and Türkiye’s Strategic Calm

The most perilous moments are not when harsh words are exchanged, but when silence lingers. In international politics, vacuums do not remain empty. They are filled by the other side’s confidence, incremental moves, and faits accomplis that, over time, harden into a new reality. This is precisely the threshold the Aegean now stands upon. As
12-Mile DoctrineErdoğan-Mitsotakis MeetingMarine ParksTürkiye-Greece
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YetkinReport
15 January 2026, Thursday / Published in Politics

US Intervention in Venezuela: The Entropy of International Law

Kutluhan Bozkurt  & Gönenç Hacaloğlu (Gedik University, İstanbul, Faculty of Law) The second law of thermodynamics is often summarized as the idea that systems tend to fall into disorder over time unless energy is constantly applied to maintain them. In this context, entropy is important because it provides a measure of disorder within a system.
entropyInternational LawVenezuela
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Murat Yetkin
11 January 2026, Sunday / Published in Politics

Ankara: Mazlum Abdi Sought Compromise in Aleppo, Kandil Blocked It

On January 10, around 15:00, Aleppo Governor Azzam El Gharib held a press conference stating that the clashes between the Syrian army and SDG/PKK militants, which had lasted four days, had ended as of 12:00, and that the militants had begun withdrawing from the Sheikh Maqsoud neighborhood. At that moment, the building was shaken by
AleppoKandilMazlum AbdiPKKSDGTom Barrack
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Murat Yetkin
06 January 2026, Tuesday / Published in Economy, Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Why Trump’s Greenland Ambition Matters for NATO, China, Russia and Türkiye

When you rotate the Google Earth application 90 degrees vertically instead of horizontally, the map above appears, clearly revealing why U.S. President Donald Trump set his sights on Greenland the very day after his military intervention in Venezuela. The area that looks like a sea in the center is the Arctic Ocean. It is covered
ChinaDenmarkGreenlandIsraelNATORussiaTrumpTürkiye
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Murat Yetkin
06 January 2026, Tuesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Uneasy Turkish Silence on the U.S. Muscling in on Venezuela

The reactions—both spoken and unspoken—of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Türkiye’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) following U.S. President Donald Trump’s abduction of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro reveal more than diplomatic caution. They point to deep unease in Ankara’s relations with Washington. Trump’s recent posture—issuing implicit threats to countries from Iran to Cuba, Colombia
MaduroTrumpTürkiyeTürkiye-U.S.Türkiye-VenezuelaU.S.
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Murat Yetkin
26 December 2025, Friday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Is Greece an ally of Türkiye or of Israel?

Ankara did not take seriously—did not even consider a threat—the attempt by Israel, Greece, and Southern Cyprus to form an alliance against Türkiye. On December 24, President Tayyip Erdoğan described the statements made by the three leaders in Jerusalem on December 22 as “tin clatter” and a “provocation” that Türkiye would not fall for. The
GreeceIsraelNATOSouthern Cyprus
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Murat Yetkin
24 December 2025, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

A Dangerous Game: Israel–Greece–Southern Cyprus vs. Türkiye

On December 22, the very day Ankara virtually launched an SDF-focused diplomatic offensive toward Damascus, Israel formed an anti-Türkiye alliance together with the governments of Greece and Southern Cyprus. As Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, Minister of National Defense Yaşar Güler, and National Intelligence Organization (MİT) Director İbrahim Kalın were meeting in Damascus with President Ahmed
GreeceIMECIsraelLebanonSDFSouthern CyprusSyriaTRNC
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YetkinReport
20 December 2025, Saturday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors

Türkiye Provided PKK/PJAK Intelligence to Iran During the Israeli Attack

Minister of National Defense Yaşar Güler announced that Türkiye has been providing Tehran with daily intelligence on the PKK and its Iranian affiliate PJAK, which—contrary to their promise to disarm and come to Ankara in anticipation of a regime change in Iran during the Israel–Iran war in June 2025—transferred armed forces from Iraq instead. Speaking
PJAKPKKSDFSyriaYaşar Güler
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Yusuf Kanlı
13 December 2025, Saturday / Published in Politics

After eight years of silence, it is talking time in Cyprus

Cyprus has seen countless diplomatic moments that promised more than they delivered. The island has lived through phases of hope, disappointment, silence and outright denial of shared political space. Yet something quietly significant happened in Nicosia last week. For the first time since the collapse of the Crans Montana negotiations in 2017, the two Cypriot
ChristodoulidesCyprusErhürman
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Murat Yetkin
08 December 2025, Monday / Published in Politics

Three serious warnings from Ankara to the PKK via the SDF: the wind may turn

As Syria’s new regime completes its first year on Dec 8, Ankara has sent three warning messages—via the SDF to the PKK and to the SDF’s patron, the United States—indicating that “the wind may turn” if the current course continues: 1. Statements by Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan at the Doha Forum 2. Visits to Damascus
IsraelPKKSDFSyriaTerror-freeterrorismTurkishTürkiye
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  • Munich: The EU’s Effort to Counter U.S. Pressure and Türkiye’s Position15 February 2026
  • What Erdoğan’s Hardline Appointments to Justice and Interior Reveal11 February 2026
  • Why the Festive Mood When There Are No Concrete Signals from the EU?8 February 2026
  • If Öcalan Is Granted the Right to Hope, It Will Also Apply to Demirtaş and Kavala6 February 2026
  • US–Iran Talks Set for Istanbul, With Nerves on Edge3 February 2026
  • Turkish Bosses Knock on the EU Door but Erdoğan Has a Key, Too2 February 2026
  • A Strategic Choice: Why Letters to Brussels No Longer Move the Needle1 February 2026
  • Casus Belli Ahead of Mitsotakis–Erdoğan Talks?”26 January 2026
  • ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix23 January 2026
  • Barrack Declares SDF’s Mission Over, Easing Türkiye-U.S. Strains21 January 2026
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