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Hasan Göğüş
26 January 2026, Monday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Casus Belli Ahead of Mitsotakis–Erdoğan Talks?”

“Casus belli” is one of the hundreds of terms Latin has contributed to international law. When pronounced in Turkish exactly as it is written, it takes on a completely different meaning. Unfortunately, some high-profile television hosts and so-called strategy analysts—whose credibility is often self-proclaimed—continue to look for a “spy,” as if they were in a
12 Milecasus belliErdoğan-Mitsotakis Meetingterritorial watersTürkiye-Greece
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Murat Yetkin
23 January 2026, Friday / Published in Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix

In mathematics, when solving systems of equations with multiple unknowns, there is the concept of a “temporary variable,” or in the terminology of statistics and economics, a “dummy variable.” If the number of equations you need to solve exceeds the number of variables, you invent variables to fill the gaps in the matrix. Once a
isisMiddle East GeopoliticsPKKSDFSyria
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Murat Yetkin
21 January 2026, Wednesday / Published in Politics

Barrack Declares SDF’s Mission Over, Easing Türkiye-U.S. Strains

U.S. Ambassador to Ankara and Special Envoy for Syria Tom Barrack said that his country no longer needs the SDF as the “primary ground force” in the fight against ISIS in Syria, and that its original purpose has “come to an end.” In a long message published on his X account (*) following his January
Ceasefire SyriaHakan FidanisisPKKSDFTom Barrack
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Murat Yetkin
19 January 2026, Monday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs

Ceasefire in Syria: The SDF Failed, Shara Won Ankara Satisfied

  After the Syrian army pushed back SDF forces during a military operation that has been ongoing for the past two weeks, Syrian President Ahmed Shara announced on the evening of January 18 that a ceasefire had been reached with the SDF in northeastern Syria. According to the ceasefire agreement, the SDF will hand over
Ceasefire SyriaPKKSDFTom BarrackTürkiye-Syria
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Mehmet Öğütçü
19 January 2026, Monday / Published in Politics

Greece’s Statements on the Aegean and Türkiye’s Strategic Calm

The most perilous moments are not when harsh words are exchanged, but when silence lingers. In international politics, vacuums do not remain empty. They are filled by the other side’s confidence, incremental moves, and faits accomplis that, over time, harden into a new reality. This is precisely the threshold the Aegean now stands upon. As
12-Mile DoctrineErdoğan-Mitsotakis MeetingMarine ParksTürkiye-Greece
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YetkinReport
15 January 2026, Thursday / Published in Politics

US Intervention in Venezuela: The Entropy of International Law

Kutluhan Bozkurt  & Gönenç Hacaloğlu (Gedik University, İstanbul, Faculty of Law) The second law of thermodynamics is often summarized as the idea that systems tend to fall into disorder over time unless energy is constantly applied to maintain them. In this context, entropy is important because it provides a measure of disorder within a system.
entropyInternational LawVenezuela
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Murat Yetkin
11 January 2026, Sunday / Published in Politics

Ankara: Mazlum Abdi Sought Compromise in Aleppo, Kandil Blocked It

On January 10, around 15:00, Aleppo Governor Azzam El Gharib held a press conference stating that the clashes between the Syrian army and SDG/PKK militants, which had lasted four days, had ended as of 12:00, and that the militants had begun withdrawing from the Sheikh Maqsoud neighborhood. At that moment, the building was shaken by
AleppoKandilMazlum AbdiPKKSDGTom Barrack
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Murat Yetkin
06 January 2026, Tuesday / Published in Economy, Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Why Trump’s Greenland Ambition Matters for NATO, China, Russia and Türkiye

When you rotate the Google Earth application 90 degrees vertically instead of horizontally, the map above appears, clearly revealing why U.S. President Donald Trump set his sights on Greenland the very day after his military intervention in Venezuela. The area that looks like a sea in the center is the Arctic Ocean. It is covered
ChinaDenmarkGreenlandIsraelNATORussiaTrumpTürkiye
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Murat Yetkin
06 January 2026, Tuesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Uneasy Turkish Silence on the U.S. Muscling in on Venezuela

The reactions—both spoken and unspoken—of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Türkiye’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) following U.S. President Donald Trump’s abduction of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro reveal more than diplomatic caution. They point to deep unease in Ankara’s relations with Washington. Trump’s recent posture—issuing implicit threats to countries from Iran to Cuba, Colombia
MaduroTrumpTürkiyeTürkiye-U.S.Türkiye-VenezuelaU.S.
  • Casus Belli Ahead of Mitsotakis–Erdoğan Talks?”26 January 2026
  • ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix23 January 2026
  • Barrack Declares SDF’s Mission Over, Easing Türkiye-U.S. Strains21 January 2026
  • Ceasefire in Syria: The SDF Failed, Shara Won Ankara Satisfied19 January 2026
  • Greece’s Statements on the Aegean and Türkiye’s Strategic Calm19 January 2026
  • US Intervention in Venezuela: The Entropy of International Law15 January 2026
  • Ankara: Mazlum Abdi Sought Compromise in Aleppo, Kandil Blocked It11 January 2026
  • Why Trump’s Greenland Ambition Matters for NATO, China, Russia and Türkiye6 January 2026
  • Uneasy Turkish Silence on the U.S. Muscling in on Venezuela6 January 2026
  • Is Greece an ally of Türkiye or of Israel?26 December 2025
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