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Murat Yetkin
26 August 2026, Wednesday / Published in The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

SDF Dissolved: Türkiye Got What It Wanted in Syria. The US Is Pleased. Watch Israel.

It was announced by its leader, Mazloum Abdi, in Damascus on the evening of August 25 that the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) had dissolved itself and joined the Syrian army. Abdi made the announcement at the Presidential Palace after meeting with President Ahmed al-Sharaa. He was wearing not guerrilla clothes but a smart suit, just
Mazloum AbdiSDFSyriaTerror-Free TürkiyeTom BarrackTürkiye-SyriaUS-Syria
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Murat Yetkin
23 January 2026, Friday / Published in Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix

In mathematics, when solving systems of equations with multiple unknowns, there is the concept of a “temporary variable,” or in the terminology of statistics and economics, a “dummy variable.” If the number of equations you need to solve exceeds the number of variables, you invent variables to fill the gaps in the matrix. Once a
isisMiddle East GeopoliticsPKKSDFSyria
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Murat Yetkin
21 January 2026, Wednesday / Published in Politics

Barrack Declares SDF’s Mission Over, Easing Türkiye-U.S. Strains

U.S. Ambassador to Ankara and Special Envoy for Syria Tom Barrack said that his country no longer needs the SDF as the “primary ground force” in the fight against ISIS in Syria, and that its original purpose has “come to an end.” In a long message published on his X account (*) following his January
Ceasefire SyriaHakan FidanisisPKKSDFTom Barrack
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Murat Yetkin
19 January 2026, Monday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs

Ceasefire in Syria: The SDF Failed, Shara Won Ankara Satisfied

  After the Syrian army pushed back SDF forces during a military operation that has been ongoing for the past two weeks, Syrian President Ahmed Shara announced on the evening of January 18 that a ceasefire had been reached with the SDF in northeastern Syria. According to the ceasefire agreement, the SDF will hand over
Ceasefire SyriaPKKSDFTom BarrackTürkiye-Syria
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Murat Yetkin
24 December 2025, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

A Dangerous Game: Israel–Greece–Southern Cyprus vs. Türkiye

On December 22, the very day Ankara virtually launched an SDF-focused diplomatic offensive toward Damascus, Israel formed an anti-Türkiye alliance together with the governments of Greece and Southern Cyprus. As Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, Minister of National Defense Yaşar Güler, and National Intelligence Organization (MİT) Director İbrahim Kalın were meeting in Damascus with President Ahmed
GreeceIMECIsraelLebanonSDFSouthern CyprusSyriaTRNC
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YetkinReport
20 December 2025, Saturday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors

Türkiye Provided PKK/PJAK Intelligence to Iran During the Israeli Attack

Minister of National Defense Yaşar Güler announced that Türkiye has been providing Tehran with daily intelligence on the PKK and its Iranian affiliate PJAK, which—contrary to their promise to disarm and come to Ankara in anticipation of a regime change in Iran during the Israel–Iran war in June 2025—transferred armed forces from Iraq instead. Speaking
PJAKPKKSDFSyriaYaşar Güler
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Murat Yetkin
14 December 2025, Sunday / Published in Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Ankara Hardens Its Stance as SDF and Israel Challenge Syria Policy

Tension over Syria is rising in Ankara on two interconnected levels. One is the military pressure Israel is exerting on the Ahmed al-Shara administration and on Syria’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. The other is the SDF’s reluctance to take responsibility for the disarmament process—acting as if it has no connection whatsoever with the PKK—while keeping
PKKSDFSyriaTerror-Free TürkiyeTürkiye-Israel
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Murat Yetkin
08 December 2025, Monday / Published in Politics

Three serious warnings from Ankara to the PKK via the SDF: the wind may turn

As Syria’s new regime completes its first year on Dec 8, Ankara has sent three warning messages—via the SDF to the PKK and to the SDF’s patron, the United States—indicating that “the wind may turn” if the current course continues: 1. Statements by Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan at the Doha Forum 2. Visits to Damascus
IsraelPKKSDFSyriaTerror-freeterrorismTurkishTürkiye
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YetkinReport
26 November 2025, Wednesday / Published in Politics

Another Threshold Crossed: Parliamentary Delegation Met with Öcalan

Within the framework of the government’s “Terror-Free Türkiye” project, it was announced that the delegation of the National Solidarity, Brotherhood and Democracy Commission—established under Parliament—met with PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan on İmralı Island Prison on 24 November. In the statement released by the Office of the Speaker of the Grand National Assembly of Türkiye (TBMM),
İmralı DelegationÖcalanSDFSyriaTerror-Free Türkiye
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Alpaslan Özerdem
31 August 2025, Sunday / Published in Politics

Kurdish Peace Process of  Türkiye and the Northern Syria Equation

Türkiye’s ongoing peace process with the outlawed Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) holds the potential to end one of the country’s most destructive conflicts of the past four decades. Yet a lasting settlement cannot be achieved in isolation. Unless the Kurdish question in northern Syria is addressed, any peace at home will remain fragile. Instability in
KurdsPKKSDFSyriaTurkishTürkiye
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  • Fidan: Criminal Netanyahu must be stopped. He is harming Israel, too.31 August 2026
  • As Serbia Turns the “Butcher of Bosnia” Mladić into a Hero, Europe Remains Silent29 August 2026
  • SDF Dissolved: Türkiye Got What It Wanted in Syria. The US Is Pleased. Watch Israel.26 August 2026
  • Another Kavala Ruling: Getting Stuck in a Stream While Aiming to Cross the Sea26 August 2026
  • Ukrainian Ambassador: There Is a War in the Black Sea, Shipowners Must Take This into Account24 August 2026
  • Two Messages from Ankara to Israel: We Won’t Take the Bait, We Won’t Allow It21 August 2026
  • Erdoğan’s Messages to Trump: “Stop Israel” and “We Will Not Shy Away from War”19 August 2026
  • Parliament approves “Terror-Free Türkiye” roadmap law by a clear majority11 August 2026
  • Topics the Government Needs to Clarify Regarding the Mecca Agreement9 August 2026
  • The Middle East Is Being Reshaped: The Türkiye–Saudi Arabia–Pakistan Triangle9 August 2026
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