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Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis and Forecast: Insightful reporting of Turkish diplomacy with its ups and downs in relations with the U.S., Russia the Europe and the Islamic World.

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Murat Yetkin
30 October 2026, Friday / Published in Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Türkiye-Azerbaijan: Towards a Crisis or a New Understanding? What Is Really Going On?

Before the impact of Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev’s announcement that he would not attend the Organization of Turkic States (OTS) Summit in Ankara had even begun to fade, a report from Baku triggered a new rift in Türkiye-Azerbaijan relations. For quite some time, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan had been lobbying for Feridun Sinirlioğlu, Secretary General
Feridun Sinirlioğluİlham AliyevOktay SaralTürkiye- Azerbaijan
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Murat Yetkin
23 October 2026, Friday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

R4+E3 Formula: New Diplomatic Initiatives, Canada and Türkiye-EU Relations

It is clear that the EU has long since lost much of its potential to exert political leverage over Türkiye, despite its expectations regarding security and connectivity. Beyond trade and industrial cooperation, Türkiye no longer appears to have any political expectations of the EU.
E3Iran WarR4Russia-Ukraine WarTurkey-CanadaTurkey-EUTürkiye-CanadaTürkiye-EU
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Ahmet Erdi Öztürk
21 October 2026, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

How Is the Türkiye–Libya Agreement Changing the Equation in the Eastern Mediterranean?

A political structure that only a few years ago was among Türkiye’s fiercest opponents in Libya has now endorsed the agreement that forms one of the foundations of Ankara’s Eastern Mediterranean policy.
Eastern MediterraneanTurkey-LibyaTürkiye-Libya
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Murat Yetkin
18 October 2026, Sunday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Türkiye Must Ease Tensions with Azerbaijan Before Another Foreign Policy Problem Emerges

Türkiye-Azerbaijan relations are too important to be derailed either by Israel or by a headscarf ban. Both Erdoğan and Aliyev have enough experience to appreciate their value.
Erdoğan-AliyevIsrael-AzerbaijanTurkey-AzerbaijanTürkiye- Azerbaijan
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Murat Yetkin
19 September 2026, Saturday / Published in Economy, Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Ankara hits Iran with economic sanctions ahead of Erdoğan-Trump meeting

Ahead of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s visit to the United States to attend the UN General Assembly on September 22, Ankara announced two economic sanctions against Iran, shortly before his expected meeting with President Donald Trump. The first came on September 16, when the Civil Aviation Directorate General of the Ministry of Transport announced that
Bank MellatMahan AirTurkey-IranTurkey-US relations
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Murat Yetkin
31 August 2026, Monday / Published in The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Fidan: Criminal Netanyahu must be stopped. He is harming Israel, too.

Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his partners “must now be stopped.” Speaking at a press conference in Istanbul, Fidan said the following in response to a question about anti-Turkish rhetoric in Israel: • “Netanyahu, who has become the common enemy of humanity, the international community and security—I underline this,
Mecca Defense AgreementTurkey-IsraelTürkiye-IsraelUS-Israel
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Murat Yetkin
26 August 2026, Wednesday / Published in The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

SDF Dissolved: Türkiye Got What It Wanted in Syria. The US Is Pleased. Watch Israel.

It was announced by its leader, Mazloum Abdi, in Damascus on the evening of August 25 that the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) had dissolved itself and joined the Syrian army. Abdi made the announcement at the Presidential Palace after meeting with President Ahmed al-Sharaa. He was wearing not guerrilla clothes but a smart suit, just
Mazloum AbdiSDFSyriaTerror-Free TürkiyeTom BarrackTürkiye-SyriaUS-Syria
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YetkinReport
24 August 2026, Monday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Ukrainian Ambassador: There Is a War in the Black Sea, Shipowners Must Take This into Account

Ukrainian Ambassador Naryman Dzhelialov said that they, too, were saddened by the deaths of civilians as a result of civilian cargo ships being struck in the Black Sea, but that it should also be understood that a war is currently under way in the region. Dzhelialov also commented on the civilian vessels struck by Ukrainian
Black SeaNaryman DzhelialovRussia-Ukraine WarUkrainian Ambassador
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Murat Yetkin
21 August 2026, Friday / Published in Politics, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Two Messages from Ankara to Israel: We Won’t Take the Bait, We Won’t Allow It

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s description of Israel’s strike on the Abu al-Duhur military airbase, near Syria’s border with Türkiye and undergoing repairs, by Israeli jets early on the morning of August 18 as a “message to Türkiye” in a statement to the Israeli Army Radio’s podcast service on the evening of August 18, further
Abu al DuhurIsrael electionsIsrael's strikeNetanyahuTurkish-Israeli
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Murat Yetkin
19 August 2026, Wednesday / Published in The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Erdoğan’s Messages to Trump: “Stop Israel” and “We Will Not Shy Away from War”

There were two current elements missing from the summary of President Tayyip Erdoğan’s phone call with U.S. President Donald Trump on the evening of August 17, as released by the Directorate of Communications. One was the fact that the Russia-Ukraine War was not mentioned, despite Russia’s reaction to Türkiye’s arms sales to Ukraine. The other
F-35iranIsraelMecca AgreementTerror-Free Türkiye
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  • Türkiye-Azerbaijan: Towards a Crisis or a New Understanding? What Is Really Going On?30 October 2026
  • R4+E3 Formula: New Diplomatic Initiatives, Canada and Türkiye-EU Relations23 October 2026
  • How Is the Türkiye–Libya Agreement Changing the Equation in the Eastern Mediterranean?21 October 2026
  • Türkiye Must Ease Tensions with Azerbaijan Before Another Foreign Policy Problem Emerges18 October 2026
  • Erdoğan: Türkiye will emerge from the stock market crises “cleansed”1 October 2026
  • Ankara hits Iran with economic sanctions ahead of Erdoğan-Trump meeting19 September 2026
  • Europe’s Changing Security Balance, the United States and Turkey19 September 2026
  • Far-Right Rise in Germany and Europe’s Unlearned Russian Lesson7 September 2026
  • Fidan: Criminal Netanyahu must be stopped. He is harming Israel, too.31 August 2026
  • As Serbia Turns the “Butcher of Bosnia” Mladić into a Hero, Europe Remains Silent29 August 2026
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