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Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis and Forecast: Insightful reporting of Turkish diplomacy with its ups and downs in relations with the U.S., Russia the Europe and the Islamic World.

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Murat Yetkin
15 July 2026, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Russia-China Meeting in Ankara and Fidan’s Visit to Ukraine

Russian Ambassador to Ankara Sergey Vershinin, will host an intriguing event on 16 July. In fact, it is a joint initiative with China’s Ambassador to Ankara Jiang Xuebin , though the venue has been set as the Russian Embassy. A conference will mark the 25th anniversary of the Treaty of Good-Neighborliness, Friendship and Cooperation between Russia
Hakan FidanNATO Ankara SummitRussia-ChinaTurkey-Ukraine
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Murat Yetkin
08 July 2026, Wednesday / Published in Politics, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Erdoğan Expects Trump to Keep His Word, Trump Expects Europe to Keep Theirs

For Turkey, there are effectively two summits taking place in Ankara. One is the NATO summit, where the Alliance is expected to enter what many describe as its new “3.0 era.” The other is the bilateral meeting between President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and U.S. President Donald Trump. Only about ten days ago, Trump told NATO
CAATSAErdoğan-Trump meetingF-35sNATO 3.0NATO Ankara Summit
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Murat Yetkin
07 July 2026, Tuesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Ankara Summit Marks the Birth of NATO’s New Cold War Era

  If you view NATO’s July 7–8 Ankara Summit as the founding meeting of the “New Cold War” NATO, then the legal cases against Turkey’s main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP) and Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu no longer appear contradictory. It also fits with U.S. President Donald Trump’s renewed warnings about the “communist threat” during
cold warNATO 3.0NATO Ankara SummitNew Cold War
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Murat Yetkin
17 June 2026, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Russia’s Ambassador to Ankara: We Respect Türkiye’s Choice of NATO Membership

Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan’s June 16–17 visit to Moscow was significant in several respects. Fidan not only met with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov. He also conveyed a message from President Tayyip Erdoğan to Russian President Vladimir Putin, briefed the Russian side on the U.S.-Iran understanding and Türkiye’s role in it, and held talks with
Ankara SummitBlack SeaMontreuxNATO-TurkeyNATO-TürkiyeRussia-NATOTürkiye-Russia
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Murat Yetkin
17 June 2026, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Can the NATO Summit Open Europe’s Doors to Türkiye?

The NATO Summit will be held in Ankara on July 7–8. Thanks to the summit, Ankara is also gaining a new airport. The long-underutilized Etimesgut Military Air Base has been upgraded to international airport status under the name “Ankara Airport,” capable of accommodating even the Boeing 747 used as Air Force One by U.S. President
Ankara SummitEU-TurkeyEU-TürkiyeNATO Summit
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Murat Yetkin
20 May 2026, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Türkiye Should Settle the Blue Homeland Dispute with Greece and Make Progress with the EU

In recent days, significant diplomatic activity has been observed in Turkish foreign policy both on the Western front — namely NATO and the European Union — and on the Eastern front, shaped by developments surrounding Iran and Israel. In this context, President Tayyip Erdoğan’s phone call with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen came
Blue HomelandEUNATOTurkey-GreeceTürkiye-Greece
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Murat Yetkin
15 May 2026, Friday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

The Meeting at the British Embassy and NATO’s Ankara Summit

There was an interesting meeting at the British Embassy in Ankara on the evening of May 12. In a rather unusual arrangement, the invitation-only gathering — organized with the support of the French and German embassies as well — focused on the NATO leaders’ summit to be held in Ankara on July 7–8. Under the
Ankara SummitNATO
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Murat Yetkin
05 May 2026, Tuesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

July Threshold in Türkiye–EU Tensions: What Did Erdoğan Really Say, and What Should Be Done?

The fact that Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz signed the agreement in Yerevan on May 4 with Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan for the restoration of the historic Ani Bridge coinciding with President Tayyip Erdoğan’s renewed remarks on Türkiye–European Union relations was no coincidence. Ankara assesses that the tension in Türkiye–EU relations—no longer possible to conceal—has
Armenia-EUEuropean Political Community SummitTurkey-EUTürkiye-EU relations
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Hasan Göğüş
26 January 2026, Monday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Casus Belli Ahead of Mitsotakis–Erdoğan Talks?”

“Casus belli” is one of the hundreds of terms Latin has contributed to international law. When pronounced in Turkish exactly as it is written, it takes on a completely different meaning. Unfortunately, some high-profile television hosts and so-called strategy analysts—whose credibility is often self-proclaimed—continue to look for a “spy,” as if they were in a
12 Milecasus belliErdoğan-Mitsotakis Meetingterritorial watersTürkiye-Greece
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Murat Yetkin
23 January 2026, Friday / Published in Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix

In mathematics, when solving systems of equations with multiple unknowns, there is the concept of a “temporary variable,” or in the terminology of statistics and economics, a “dummy variable.” If the number of equations you need to solve exceeds the number of variables, you invent variables to fill the gaps in the matrix. Once a
isisMiddle East GeopoliticsPKKSDFSyria
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  • Russia-China Meeting in Ankara and Fidan’s Visit to Ukraine15 July 2026
  • Erdoğan Expects Trump to Keep His Word, Trump Expects Europe to Keep Theirs8 July 2026
  • Ankara Summit Marks the Birth of NATO’s New Cold War Era7 July 2026
  • “NATO’s Outreach to the Middle East via Turkey and Trump’s Two Key Meetings”6 July 2026
  • Russia’s Ambassador to Ankara: We Respect Türkiye’s Choice of NATO Membership17 June 2026
  • Can the NATO Summit Open Europe’s Doors to Türkiye?17 June 2026
  • Armenia: Pashinyan Chose Peace with Türkiye and Azerbaijan—and Won8 June 2026
  • Özel’s Star Is Rising: The Nullity Ruling Benefits Neither Kılıçdaroğlu nor Erdoğan”25 May 2026
  • The Dark Day of Turkish Politics: A Coup to Free Politics25 May 2026
  • “Absolute Nullity” Blow to the CHP: Court Rules That “Kılıçdaroğlu Must Return”22 May 2026
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