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Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis and Forecast: Insightful reporting of Turkish diplomacy with its ups and downs in relations with the U.S., Russia the Europe and the Islamic World.

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Murat Yetkin
07 July 2026, Tuesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Ankara Summit Marks the Birth of NATO’s New Cold War Era

  If you view NATO’s July 7–8 Ankara Summit as the founding meeting of the “New Cold War” NATO, then the legal cases against Turkey’s main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP) and Istanbul Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu no longer appear contradictory. It also fits with U.S. President Donald Trump’s renewed warnings about the “communist threat” during
cold warNATO 3.0NATO Ankara SummitNew Cold War
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Murat Yetkin
17 June 2026, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Russia’s Ambassador to Ankara: We Respect Türkiye’s Choice of NATO Membership

Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan’s June 16–17 visit to Moscow was significant in several respects. Fidan not only met with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov. He also conveyed a message from President Tayyip Erdoğan to Russian President Vladimir Putin, briefed the Russian side on the U.S.-Iran understanding and Türkiye’s role in it, and held talks with
Ankara SummitBlack SeaMontreuxNATO-TurkeyNATO-TürkiyeRussia-NATOTürkiye-Russia
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Murat Yetkin
17 June 2026, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Can the NATO Summit Open Europe’s Doors to Türkiye?

The NATO Summit will be held in Ankara on July 7–8. Thanks to the summit, Ankara is also gaining a new airport. The long-underutilized Etimesgut Military Air Base has been upgraded to international airport status under the name “Ankara Airport,” capable of accommodating even the Boeing 747 used as Air Force One by U.S. President
Ankara SummitEU-TurkeyEU-TürkiyeNATO Summit
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Murat Yetkin
20 May 2026, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Türkiye Should Settle the Blue Homeland Dispute with Greece and Make Progress with the EU

In recent days, significant diplomatic activity has been observed in Turkish foreign policy both on the Western front — namely NATO and the European Union — and on the Eastern front, shaped by developments surrounding Iran and Israel. In this context, President Tayyip Erdoğan’s phone call with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen came
Blue HomelandEUNATOTurkey-GreeceTürkiye-Greece
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Murat Yetkin
15 May 2026, Friday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

The Meeting at the British Embassy and NATO’s Ankara Summit

There was an interesting meeting at the British Embassy in Ankara on the evening of May 12. In a rather unusual arrangement, the invitation-only gathering — organized with the support of the French and German embassies as well — focused on the NATO leaders’ summit to be held in Ankara on July 7–8. Under the
Ankara SummitNATO
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Murat Yetkin
05 May 2026, Tuesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

July Threshold in Türkiye–EU Tensions: What Did Erdoğan Really Say, and What Should Be Done?

The fact that Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz signed the agreement in Yerevan on May 4 with Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan for the restoration of the historic Ani Bridge coinciding with President Tayyip Erdoğan’s renewed remarks on Türkiye–European Union relations was no coincidence. Ankara assesses that the tension in Türkiye–EU relations—no longer possible to conceal—has
Armenia-EUEuropean Political Community SummitTurkey-EUTürkiye-EU relations
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Hasan Göğüş
26 January 2026, Monday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Casus Belli Ahead of Mitsotakis–Erdoğan Talks?”

“Casus belli” is one of the hundreds of terms Latin has contributed to international law. When pronounced in Turkish exactly as it is written, it takes on a completely different meaning. Unfortunately, some high-profile television hosts and so-called strategy analysts—whose credibility is often self-proclaimed—continue to look for a “spy,” as if they were in a
12 Milecasus belliErdoğan-Mitsotakis Meetingterritorial watersTürkiye-Greece
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Murat Yetkin
23 January 2026, Friday / Published in Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix

In mathematics, when solving systems of equations with multiple unknowns, there is the concept of a “temporary variable,” or in the terminology of statistics and economics, a “dummy variable.” If the number of equations you need to solve exceeds the number of variables, you invent variables to fill the gaps in the matrix. Once a
isisMiddle East GeopoliticsPKKSDFSyria
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Murat Yetkin
06 January 2026, Tuesday / Published in Economy, Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Why Trump’s Greenland Ambition Matters for NATO, China, Russia and Türkiye

When you rotate the Google Earth application 90 degrees vertically instead of horizontally, the map above appears, clearly revealing why U.S. President Donald Trump set his sights on Greenland the very day after his military intervention in Venezuela. The area that looks like a sea in the center is the Arctic Ocean. It is covered
ChinaDenmarkGreenlandIsraelNATORussiaTrumpTürkiye
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Murat Yetkin
06 January 2026, Tuesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Uneasy Turkish Silence on the U.S. Muscling in on Venezuela

The reactions—both spoken and unspoken—of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Türkiye’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) following U.S. President Donald Trump’s abduction of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro reveal more than diplomatic caution. They point to deep unease in Ankara’s relations with Washington. Trump’s recent posture—issuing implicit threats to countries from Iran to Cuba, Colombia
MaduroTrumpTürkiyeTürkiye-U.S.Türkiye-VenezuelaU.S.
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  • Fidan: Criminal Netanyahu must be stopped. He is harming Israel, too.31 August 2026
  • As Serbia Turns the “Butcher of Bosnia” Mladić into a Hero, Europe Remains Silent29 August 2026
  • SDF Dissolved: Türkiye Got What It Wanted in Syria. The US Is Pleased. Watch Israel.26 August 2026
  • Another Kavala Ruling: Getting Stuck in a Stream While Aiming to Cross the Sea26 August 2026
  • Ukrainian Ambassador: There Is a War in the Black Sea, Shipowners Must Take This into Account24 August 2026
  • Two Messages from Ankara to Israel: We Won’t Take the Bait, We Won’t Allow It21 August 2026
  • Erdoğan’s Messages to Trump: “Stop Israel” and “We Will Not Shy Away from War”19 August 2026
  • Parliament approves “Terror-Free Türkiye” roadmap law by a clear majority11 August 2026
  • Topics the Government Needs to Clarify Regarding the Mecca Agreement9 August 2026
  • The Middle East Is Being Reshaped: The Türkiye–Saudi Arabia–Pakistan Triangle9 August 2026
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