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Terrorism and counter-terrorism of Turkey and neighboring countries: A detailed reporting, analysis and forecast of terrorism and counter-terrorism activities, Turkey and neighbouring countries being one of major targets.

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Murat Yetkin
23 January 2026, Friday / Published in Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix

In mathematics, when solving systems of equations with multiple unknowns, there is the concept of a “temporary variable,” or in the terminology of statistics and economics, a “dummy variable.” If the number of equations you need to solve exceeds the number of variables, you invent variables to fill the gaps in the matrix. Once a
isisMiddle East GeopoliticsPKKSDFSyria
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Murat Yetkin
19 January 2026, Monday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs

Ceasefire in Syria: The SDF Failed, Shara Won Ankara Satisfied

  After the Syrian army pushed back SDF forces during a military operation that has been ongoing for the past two weeks, Syrian President Ahmed Shara announced on the evening of January 18 that a ceasefire had been reached with the SDF in northeastern Syria. According to the ceasefire agreement, the SDF will hand over
Ceasefire SyriaPKKSDFTom BarrackTürkiye-Syria
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YetkinReport
20 December 2025, Saturday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors

Türkiye Provided PKK/PJAK Intelligence to Iran During the Israeli Attack

Minister of National Defense Yaşar Güler announced that Türkiye has been providing Tehran with daily intelligence on the PKK and its Iranian affiliate PJAK, which—contrary to their promise to disarm and come to Ankara in anticipation of a regime change in Iran during the Israel–Iran war in June 2025—transferred armed forces from Iraq instead. Speaking
PJAKPKKSDFSyriaYaşar Güler
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Murat Yetkin
14 December 2025, Sunday / Published in Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Ankara Hardens Its Stance as SDF and Israel Challenge Syria Policy

Tension over Syria is rising in Ankara on two interconnected levels. One is the military pressure Israel is exerting on the Ahmed al-Shara administration and on Syria’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. The other is the SDF’s reluctance to take responsibility for the disarmament process—acting as if it has no connection whatsoever with the PKK—while keeping
PKKSDFSyriaTerror-Free TürkiyeTürkiye-Israel
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Murat Yetkin
27 March 2024, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors

ISIS Moscow attack: A shift in targets, strategy or sponsor?

Since the bloody attack on the concert hall in Moscow, I have been speaking with sources from the intelligence, security, and diplomatic circles. The point they all converge on is that the March 22 attack of the ISIS Khorasan province branch, (ISIS-K) which killed 139 people in Moscow, differs from known ISIS actions in terms
attackCrocous City Hallisisisis-kKhorasanMoscowmoscow attackRussiaTerrorTurkeyTürkiye
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Murat Yetkin
15 March 2024, Friday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Potential Türkiye-Iraq agreement: A game-changer in the Middle East

Top-level Turkish security delegation’s visit to Baghdad on March 14 should be considered as a significant step towards a comprehensive Türkiye Iraq agreement ahead of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s expected visit to Iraq in April after 12 years. The rapprochement and establishment of strategic political and economic relations between Türkiye and Iraq appear to
bağdatiraqMiddle EastPKKsecuritySyriaTerrorTurkeyTürkiyeUS
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Murat Yetkin
17 January 2024, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors

Türkiye’s cross-border strategy: Codes of Ministers’ PKK briefing

“If we had not been there, the organization’s attacks on our borders would have continued as before and we would have paid a higher price in our own cities,” Yaşar Güler said on January 16 as he and Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan briefed the Turkish Grand National Assembly in response to the PKK attack to
counter-terrorF-16PKKTerrorTurkeyTürkiyeUS
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Murat Yetkin
07 October 2023, Saturday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors

The 2nd “hood Incident” with Türkiye and the YPG dilemma of the USA

In an unprecedented response to the US downing of a Turkish UCAV in Syria on October 5, the Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs said on October 6 that “the operation was not affected,” referring to the operations of Turkish military and intelligence forces against the PKK, which claimed responsibility for the October 1 bombing to
pentagonPKKRyderSDFSyriaThe USATurkeyUCAVYPG
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YetkinReport
04 October 2023, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors

Turkish Minister: “All PKK/YPG facilities in Syria and Iraq are legitimate targets”

Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said Türkiye, from now on, regards all “infrastructure, structure, and energy facilities belonging to the PKK and YPG in Syria and Iraq as a legitimate target,” stating that two terrorists who carried out a bomb attack on the Interior Ministry on October 1 came to Türkiye from Syria. “All infrastructure,
Hakan FidanTürkiye
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Murat Yetkin
04 February 2022, Friday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors

US forces raided ISIS leader at walking distance to Turkey

In the early hours of February 3, US special forces raided a two-story house in Atme village in Idlib, near Syria’s border with Turkey. At least 13 people, including six women and four children, were killed in the raid, which was carried out with intense helicopter fire. In a statement broadcast live from the White
Abu İbrahim al-Hashimi al-Quaryshial-BaghdadiAnkara train station attackAtme VillageBerisha villageEuphrades ShieldHayat Tahrir al-ShamHTSISILJoe BidenQuraishiThe USYazidi
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  • What Erdoğan’s Hardline Appointments to Justice and Interior Reveal11 February 2026
  • Why the Festive Mood When There Are No Concrete Signals from the EU?8 February 2026
  • If Öcalan Is Granted the Right to Hope, It Will Also Apply to Demirtaş and Kavala6 February 2026
  • US–Iran Talks Set for Istanbul, With Nerves on Edge3 February 2026
  • Turkish Bosses Knock on the EU Door but Erdoğan Has a Key, Too2 February 2026
  • A Strategic Choice: Why Letters to Brussels No Longer Move the Needle1 February 2026
  • Casus Belli Ahead of Mitsotakis–Erdoğan Talks?”26 January 2026
  • ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix23 January 2026
  • Barrack Declares SDF’s Mission Over, Easing Türkiye-U.S. Strains21 January 2026
  • Ceasefire in Syria: The SDF Failed, Shara Won Ankara Satisfied19 January 2026
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