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Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis and Forecast: Insightful reporting of Turkish diplomacy with its ups and downs in relations with the U.S., Russia the Europe and the Islamic World.

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Murat Yetkin
29 October 2025, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Europe’s focus shifts from Turkish democracy to security in 7 points.

About ten years ago, caricatures of “Sultan Erdoğan” were popular in the Western European press. President Tayyip Erdoğan, who was trying to pull the Turkish Republic into the orbit of Russia and Iran with a neo-Ottoman and political Islamist policy, was seen as the antithesis of the West. The antipathy was so strong that, during
Bayraktar TB-2ErdoğanEurofighterİmamoğluMerzRare Earth ElementsstarmerTürkiye
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Mehmet Öğütçü
29 September 2025, Monday / Published in Economy, Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

US-Turkish LNG Deal: Let the Numbers and Geopolitics Speak

The 20-year Turkish-US deal signed in Washington on September 25 during Turkish President Tayyip Erdoğan’s meeting with US President Donald Trump marks a new chapter in energy and geopolitics balance. The agreement between BOTAŞ and US producers is more than a long-term supply contract; it is a clear signal of Türkiye’s determination to reduce dependence
BOTAŞgeopoliticsLNGnatural gasPipeline GasTürkiyeU.S.
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Murat Yetkin
16 September 2025, Tuesday / Published in The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Netanyahu admits isolation, Erdoğan calls for economic sanctions

  U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio poured fuel on the fire with his remarks at a joint press conference with Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu in Israel following the Qatar operation. According to Rubio, efforts to recognize the State of Palestine were “emboldening Hamas”. Rubio who was already emboldening Netanyahu’s expansionist aggression with this visit
Arab LEagueCENTCOMDohaeconomic isolationEurovisionHamasIsraelNetanyahuOrganization of Islamic CooperationPatriot missilesPresident ErdoğanQatarRubiosanctionsState Of PalestineTwo-State solutionUN General Assembly
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Murat Yetkin
15 March 2024, Friday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Potential Türkiye-Iraq agreement: A game-changer in the Middle East

Top-level Turkish security delegation’s visit to Baghdad on March 14 should be considered as a significant step towards a comprehensive Türkiye Iraq agreement ahead of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s expected visit to Iraq in April after 12 years. The rapprochement and establishment of strategic political and economic relations between Türkiye and Iraq appear to
bağdatiraqMiddle EastPKKsecuritySyriaTerrorTurkeyTürkiyeUS
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Murat Yetkin
14 March 2022, Monday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

The Turkey inconsistency of the US and Europe

US President Joe Biden and Turkey’s President Tayyip Erdoğan talked for 45 minutes on the phone on March 10. A few hours before, Foreign Minister Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu had brought together the foreign ministers of Russia and Ukraine, Sergey Lavrov and Dimitro Kuleba, in Turkey’s resort city Antalya in Antalya Diplomacy Forum (ADF). Biden’s schedule to
Antalya Diplomacy ForumBayraktar TB2EuropeHerzogJoe BidenMurat YetkinOne minuteRussia UkraineS400UCAVsUSA
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Murat Yetkin
23 February 2022, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Turkey-Russia relations under Ukraine test

Ukraine crisis challenged Turkey-Russia relations in another dimension where the political and defense aspects, as in the case of the S-400 missiles, follow the economic aspect, which is more likely to have more profound effect on Turkish public. In this rough patch, natural gas, tourism, agriculture and contracting services came to a fore in terms
DonbassDonetskdowningEvren BaltaF35JarablusKarlovLuhanskMurat YetkinrelationsRussia Turkey relationsRussia-TurkeyS400sSİHAsSU-24UkraineUSA
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YetkinReport
23 February 2022, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Turkey-Greece Aegean Crisis and its Implications on NATO

Fatih Ceylan1, Alper Coşkun2 The 70th anniversary of Turkey and Greece joining NATO was recently commemorated. Yet, just days before that we witnessed a Turkish fisherman’s bold stance against a Greek coast guard boat’s aggressive posturing in the Aegean Sea. This incident reminded us once again that notwithstanding their bond as allies, Turkey and Greece
Aegean SEaAlper CoşkunBern AgreementBülend UlusuCyprus interventionEast MediterraneanFatih CeylanFIRGreece-TurkeyJavier SolanaJohnson LetterLausanneOpen Ended GroupParis Peace TreatyRobertsonRoger's PlanSampsonVenizelos
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Murat Yetkin
22 February 2022, Tuesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Putin’s eyes on Ukraine, Turkey steps up military measures

Shortly after Russian President Vladimir Putin recognized the independence of breakaway states of Donetsk and Luhansk in eastern Ukraine in February 21, Turkey’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced that Turkey would not recognize the decision. Stating that the recognition was a “clear violation of Ukraine’s political unity, sovereignty and territorial integrity,” Ministry added that “The
AbkhaziaBrezhnev DoctrineCrimeaDombassDonetskEisenhower DoctrineGeorgiaİncirlik Air BaseLuhanskMurat Yetkinself-determinationSouth OssetiaUkraineVladimir Putin
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Namık Tan
14 February 2022, Monday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Turkey and the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse

Four global players will define how our near future will look: the United States (US), the European Union (EU), China and Russia. The relationship between these “four horsemen of the Apocalypse” will – to a large degree – determine the new World Order. All indications today are that we are moving towards an even more
ChinaEmmanuel MacronFour Horsemen of ApocalypseJoe BidenNATO-RussiaNormandy FormatNorth StreamOlaf ScholzRussia-UkraineUkraineUkraine crisisVladimir Putin
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Namık Tan
03 February 2022, Thursday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Turning over a new leaf in relations with Israel

I want to start with a sentence attributed to Vladimir Ilich Lenin: “There are decades where nothing happens, and there are weeks where decades happen”. This could not be more applicable to recent developments in global politics. Turkey’s recent rapprochement of Israel is a good example that fits this description. The Government of Turkey seems
Israel-TurkeyNamık TanOlmertOperation Cast LeadProblem-free circlerapproachmentSaudi ArabiaShimon PeresTayyip ErdoğanYitzhak Herzog
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  • Another Threshold Crossed: Parliamentary Delegation Met with Öcalan26 November 2025
  • “Pope Leo XIV’s Visit to Türkiye and Ankara’s Expectations”26 November 2025
  • The İmamoğlu Indictment and the Questions It Raises17 November 2025
  • EU-Türkiye: Political Hurdles, Business Pushes On17 November 2025
  • Talk About Democracy and Europe? Then Free Selahattin Demirtaş4 November 2025
  • Europe’s focus shifts from Turkish democracy to security in 7 points.29 October 2025
  • Turkish Intelligence Report on Rare Earth Elements (REE)24 October 2025
  • Cyprus: What now? Erhürman’s Victory and the Four Fronts of Change21 October 2025
  • Turkish Cypriots Pick Opposition Leader as TRNC President, Despite Ankara20 October 2025
  • TRNC at the Crossroads: The Stakes Behind the Turkish Cypriot Vote17 October 2025
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