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Turkish Domestic Politics: Analysis and forecast on all relevant developments and insight about Turkish politics with its repercussions in its neighboring countries

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Murat Yetkin
15 February 2026, Sunday / Published in Politics

Munich: The EU’s Effort to Counter U.S. Pressure and Türkiye’s Position

Until Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine in 2022, the Munich Security Conference was regarded as one of the world’s most influential platforms for strategic dialogue — a political barometer for the year ahead. Not only Western countries, but also officials from China, Russia and Iran were invited. Discussions often proved more substantive than those
MunichMunich Security ConferenceNATOSAFESDGTB-3
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Murat Yetkin
11 February 2026, Wednesday / Published in Politics

What Erdoğan’s Hardline Appointments to Justice and Interior Reveal

Under a presidential decree issued at midnight on February 10, President Erdoğan appointed Istanbul Chief Public Prosecutor Akın Gürlek to replace Yılmaz Tunç as Minister of Justice, and Erzurum Governor Mustafa Çiftçi to replace Ali Yerlikaya as Minister of Interior. The decree stated that Tunç and Yerlikaya had requested to be “relieved of their duties”,
Akın GürlekMinister of Interiorminister of justiceMustafa Çiftçi
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Murat Yetkin
08 February 2026, Sunday / Published in Politics

Why the Festive Mood When There Are No Concrete Signals from the EU?

Kos’s visit was interpreted both as a response to the government’s statements and initiatives aimed at rapprochement with the EU, and to the call made by the Turkish business community—through an advertisement published in the Financial Times in recent days—that in the new global imbalance, the EU needs Türkiye more than ever. Updating the Customs
Customs UnionEuropean Investment BankMarta Kos's VisitTürkiye-EU relations
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Murat Yetkin
06 February 2026, Friday / Published in Politics

If Öcalan Is Granted the Right to Hope, It Will Also Apply to Demirtaş and Kavala

Should the Grand National Assembly of Türkiye extend the “right to hope” to PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan, this practice would also cover Selahattin Demirtaş, Osman Kavala, and all prisoners in similar situations. On the evening of 5 February, after confirming this information in Ankara’s political circles, I was granted permission to report it on the
Bahçeliright to hopeTerror-Free Türkiye
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Murat Yetkin
03 February 2026, Tuesday / Published in Politics, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs

US–Iran Talks Set for Istanbul, With Nerves on Edge

US and Iranian delegations are expected to meet in Istanbul on Friday, February 6, at Türkiye’s initiative. If it goes ahead, the talks between US President Donald Trump’s Special Envoy for the Middle East Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi will be hosted by Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan. This would mark the first
IsraelnuclearUS-Iran talks
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Murat Yetkin
02 February 2026, Monday / Published in Economy, Politics

Turkish Bosses Knock on the EU Door but Erdoğan Has a Key, Too

On January 31, the Foreign Economic Relations Board (DEİK) published a full-page advertisement in the Financial Times. The ad was titled “An Open Letter from the Turkish Business Community to EU Leaders.” It was addressed to European Parliament President Roberta Metsola, European Council President Antonio Costa, and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. Beneath
Customs UnionDEİK LetterSAFETürkiye-EU relations
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Mehmet Öğütçü
01 February 2026, Sunday / Published in Politics

A Strategic Choice: Why Letters to Brussels No Longer Move the Needle

The longer version of the headline is straightforward: Why are letters addressed to Brussels no longer effective—and why does the European Union need a new story with Türkiye? When I first came across the open letter prepared by the Turkish business community through DEİK and published on 31 January as a paid announcement in the
DEİKDEİK LetterTürkiye-EU
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Hasan Göğüş
26 January 2026, Monday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Casus Belli Ahead of Mitsotakis–Erdoğan Talks?”

“Casus belli” is one of the hundreds of terms Latin has contributed to international law. When pronounced in Turkish exactly as it is written, it takes on a completely different meaning. Unfortunately, some high-profile television hosts and so-called strategy analysts—whose credibility is often self-proclaimed—continue to look for a “spy,” as if they were in a
12 Milecasus belliErdoğan-Mitsotakis Meetingterritorial watersTürkiye-Greece
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Murat Yetkin
21 January 2026, Wednesday / Published in Politics

Barrack Declares SDF’s Mission Over, Easing Türkiye-U.S. Strains

U.S. Ambassador to Ankara and Special Envoy for Syria Tom Barrack said that his country no longer needs the SDF as the “primary ground force” in the fight against ISIS in Syria, and that its original purpose has “come to an end.” In a long message published on his X account (*) following his January
Ceasefire SyriaHakan FidanisisPKKSDFTom Barrack
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Murat Yetkin
19 January 2026, Monday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs

Ceasefire in Syria: The SDF Failed, Shara Won Ankara Satisfied

  After the Syrian army pushed back SDF forces during a military operation that has been ongoing for the past two weeks, Syrian President Ahmed Shara announced on the evening of January 18 that a ceasefire had been reached with the SDF in northeastern Syria. According to the ceasefire agreement, the SDF will hand over
Ceasefire SyriaPKKSDFTom BarrackTürkiye-Syria
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  • Munich: The EU’s Effort to Counter U.S. Pressure and Türkiye’s Position15 February 2026
  • What Erdoğan’s Hardline Appointments to Justice and Interior Reveal11 February 2026
  • Why the Festive Mood When There Are No Concrete Signals from the EU?8 February 2026
  • If Öcalan Is Granted the Right to Hope, It Will Also Apply to Demirtaş and Kavala6 February 2026
  • US–Iran Talks Set for Istanbul, With Nerves on Edge3 February 2026
  • Turkish Bosses Knock on the EU Door but Erdoğan Has a Key, Too2 February 2026
  • A Strategic Choice: Why Letters to Brussels No Longer Move the Needle1 February 2026
  • Casus Belli Ahead of Mitsotakis–Erdoğan Talks?”26 January 2026
  • ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix23 January 2026
  • Barrack Declares SDF’s Mission Over, Easing Türkiye-U.S. Strains21 January 2026
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