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Murat Yetkin
23 January 2026, Friday / Published in Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix

In mathematics, when solving systems of equations with multiple unknowns, there is the concept of a “temporary variable,” or in the terminology of statistics and economics, a “dummy variable.” If the number of equations you need to solve exceeds the number of variables, you invent variables to fill the gaps in the matrix. Once a
isisMiddle East GeopoliticsPKKSDFSyria
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Murat Yetkin
21 January 2026, Wednesday / Published in Politics

Barrack Declares SDF’s Mission Over, Easing Türkiye-U.S. Strains

U.S. Ambassador to Ankara and Special Envoy for Syria Tom Barrack said that his country no longer needs the SDF as the “primary ground force” in the fight against ISIS in Syria, and that its original purpose has “come to an end.” In a long message published on his X account (*) following his January
Ceasefire SyriaHakan FidanisisPKKSDFTom Barrack
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Murat Yetkin
19 July 2024, Friday / Published in Economy, Politics

Turkish move in Niger as France loses influence in West Africa

In Türkiye’s busy agenda, the visit of a high-level Turkish delegation to Niger on July 17 should be read as an important stage in the Türkiye-France rivalry that has recently come to the fore in Africa, beyond extensive bilateral contacts and agreements. The oil and gas agreements signed with the West African country of Niger
AESBoko HaramBurkina FasoECOWASFranceGiorgia MeloniHakan FidanisisItalyMalineo-colonialismnigerSahelWagner
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Murat Yetkin
17 May 2024, Friday / Published in Politics

The Kobani verdicts: Dissecting a political trial

The Ankara 22nd High Criminal Court handed down heavy sentences in the Kobani Trial on May 16. The most notable were the 42-year sentence for Selahattin Demirtaş and the 30-year sentence for Figen Yüksekdağ, both of whom were co-chairs of the HDP at the time. Their sentences were the natural headline in media. Like the
DEM PartyDemirtaşErdoğanisisKobaniKurdish issueObamaPKKPYDSDFYüksekdağ
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Murat Yetkin
27 March 2024, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors

ISIS Moscow attack: A shift in targets, strategy or sponsor?

Since the bloody attack on the concert hall in Moscow, I have been speaking with sources from the intelligence, security, and diplomatic circles. The point they all converge on is that the March 22 attack of the ISIS Khorasan province branch, (ISIS-K) which killed 139 people in Moscow, differs from known ISIS actions in terms
attackCrocous City Hallisisisis-kKhorasanMoscowmoscow attackRussiaTerrorTurkeyTürkiye
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Mehmet Öğütçü
25 March 2024, Monday / Published in Politics

The real center of power in the Turkish-US relations is the Pentagon

We were chatting with an American diplomat, who held high positions in the US State Department while on duty, during the coffee break of an important meeting in Marrakesh. Stating that in the critical period we are in, the USA has been acting as if it has discarded Türkiye. In contrast, new dynamics have emerged
9/11al qaedaCENTCOMisisNATOpentagonPKKTurkeyTurkish-USTürkiyeUS-Turkish
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Mehmet Öğütçü
17 February 2024, Saturday / Published in Politics

Which forces are behind ISIS?

This question has been puzzling me since the day it first emerged. (*) The organization, also known as the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL), the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), or its Arabic acronym Daesh, is a transnational Salafi jihadist group. Its origins lay in the Cey’ish al-Taifa al-Mansurah organization,
DEASHISILisis
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Murat Yetkin
05 February 2024, Monday / Published in Politics

Diplomats in Ankara wonder about the travels of intel chief Kalın

The meeting between the head of the Turkish National Intelligence Organization (MİT), İbrahim Kalın, and Hamas leader İsmail Haniyeh in Doha, Qatar, on February 3 has increased the curiosity of Ankara diplomatic circles recently. A few hours after Anadolu Agency’s report, citing security sources, Hamas spokesman Osama bin Hamdan announced overnight that no new ceasefire
BarzanidaeshF-16Hamasİbrahim Kalıniraqisisismail haniyahKDPmossadNATOPKKSwedenTalabaniTurkeyTürkiye
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YetkinReport
30 December 2023, Saturday / Published in Politics

Turkish police nab ISIS cells in preparation for New Year attacks

Interior Minister Ali Yerlikaya said via his “X” account that 29 ISIS members, who were preparing terrorist attacks on churches and synagogues in İstanbul, were captured in simultaneous operations in 9 provinces with the joint work of the Turkish Intelligence Organization (MİT) and General Police Directorate (Emniyet). A few days earlier, on December 21, Yerlikaya
Ali Yerlikayairaqisismitnew yearPKKSalman Al-Farisi BattalionSDFSyriaTurkeyTurkish intelligenceTürkiye
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YetkinReport
06 October 2023, Friday / Published in Politics

Turkish forces hit 30 targets in Northern Syria

Turkish Ministry of National Defense announced that the Turkish Armed Forces conducted airstrikes against 30 targets in northern Syria as of 23:00 local time on October 5. “In order to eliminate terrorist attacks against our people and security forces from Northern Syria by neutralizing PKK/YPG and other terrorist elements and to ensure our border security;
isispentagonRyderSyriaturkish air forcesTurkish Armed ForcesUS
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  • If Öcalan Is Granted the Right to Hope, It Will Also Apply to Demirtaş and Kavala6 February 2026
  • US–Iran Talks Set for Istanbul, With Nerves on Edge3 February 2026
  • Turkish Bosses Knock on the EU Door but Erdoğan Has a Key, Too2 February 2026
  • A Strategic Choice: Why Letters to Brussels No Longer Move the Needle1 February 2026
  • Casus Belli Ahead of Mitsotakis–Erdoğan Talks?”26 January 2026
  • ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix23 January 2026
  • Barrack Declares SDF’s Mission Over, Easing Türkiye-U.S. Strains21 January 2026
  • Ceasefire in Syria: The SDF Failed, Shara Won Ankara Satisfied19 January 2026
  • Greece’s Statements on the Aegean and Türkiye’s Strategic Calm19 January 2026
  • US Intervention in Venezuela: The Entropy of International Law15 January 2026
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