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Mehmet Öğütçü
23 February 2026, Monday / Published in Politics, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs

Could Iran De Facto Recognise Israel and Preserve the Regime?

Geopolitical analysis of the US–Iran crisis typically rests on cold calculations of power: air defence systems, missile ranges, sanctions packages, aircraft carriers. Yet occasionally it is more instructive to step deliberately one degree away from realism and ask: what if? Alternative scenarios can illuminate exits from deadlocked equations. Recall that when China brokered diplomatic normalisation
Iran-IsraelMiddle East GeopoliticsTürkiye-Iran-USUS-Iran
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Murat Yetkin
23 January 2026, Friday / Published in Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix

In mathematics, when solving systems of equations with multiple unknowns, there is the concept of a “temporary variable,” or in the terminology of statistics and economics, a “dummy variable.” If the number of equations you need to solve exceeds the number of variables, you invent variables to fill the gaps in the matrix. Once a
isisMiddle East GeopoliticsPKKSDFSyria
  • The Positions of the EU, Russia, China, Arab Countries and Türkiye in the Iran War4 March 2026
  • Israel and the US Strike Iran: Regime Change with a Nuclear Pretext1 March 2026
  • Russia–Ukraine: Türkiye’s Return to Realpolitik and Its Expanding Role in NATO24 February 2026
  • Could Iran De Facto Recognise Israel and Preserve the Regime?23 February 2026
  • “Terror-Free Türkiye” Report Voted On Amid Objections: Time to Act19 February 2026
  • Munich: The EU’s Effort to Counter U.S. Pressure and Türkiye’s Position15 February 2026
  • What Erdoğan’s Hardline Appointments to Justice and Interior Reveal11 February 2026
  • Why the Festive Mood When There Are No Concrete Signals from the EU?8 February 2026
  • If Öcalan Is Granted the Right to Hope, It Will Also Apply to Demirtaş and Kavala6 February 2026
  • US–Iran Talks Set for Istanbul, With Nerves on Edge3 February 2026
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