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The London Energy Club - Chair
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Mehmet Öğütçü
19 January 2026, Monday / Published in Politics

Greece’s Statements on the Aegean and Türkiye’s Strategic Calm

The most perilous moments are not when harsh words are exchanged, but when silence lingers. In international politics, vacuums do not remain empty. They are filled by the other side’s confidence, incremental moves, and faits accomplis that, over time, harden into a new reality. This is precisely the threshold the Aegean now stands upon. As
12-Mile DoctrineErdoğan-Mitsotakis MeetingMarine ParksTürkiye-Greece
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Mehmet Öğütçü
07 December 2025, Sunday / Published in The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Can Türkiye and Israel Afford a Permanent Rupture?

Türkiye and Israel are weathering one of the most acrimonious periods in their modern diplomatic history. The humanitarian catastrophe in Gaza, Israel’s increasingly assertive posture in Syria, its strategic alignment with Greece and the Greek Cypriot administration, and the heightened pressure from influential segments of the US Jewish lobby on Ankara have all contributed to
Türkiye-Israel
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Mehmet Öğütçü
16 October 2025, Thursday / Published in Economy, Politics

The New Great Game: Rare Earth Elements and Turkish Position

My generation learned about energy geopolitics through oil. We witnessed oil wars, embargoes, tanker crises, the political power of OPEC, and how the United States reshaped the world through energy. Then came natural gas. It was called a “transition fuel,” but it quickly turned into a new tool of strategic dependency. Today, however, we stand
ChinaErdoğan-Trump meetingMineral WarsRare Earth ElementsTürkiyeU.S.
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Mehmet Öğütçü
29 September 2025, Monday / Published in Economy, Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

US-Turkish LNG Deal: Let the Numbers and Geopolitics Speak

The 20-year Turkish-US deal signed in Washington on September 25 during Turkish President Tayyip Erdoğan’s meeting with US President Donald Trump marks a new chapter in energy and geopolitics balance. The agreement between BOTAŞ and US producers is more than a long-term supply contract; it is a clear signal of Türkiye’s determination to reduce dependence
BOTAŞgeopoliticsLNGnatural gasPipeline GasTürkiyeU.S.
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Mehmet Öğütçü
18 September 2025, Thursday / Published in The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs

Erdoğan-Netanyahu Jerusalem clash: Is Türkiye-Israel conflict looming?

The Erdoğan–Netanyahu confrontation is no longer just a war of words. It reflects a deeper struggle shaped by the contested status of Jerusalem, energy rivalries in the Eastern Mediterranean, and U.S. unwavering support for Israel. The only way out lies in a hard-nosed approach to deterrence, balanced by sober diplomacy. From words to weapons For
Al-AqsaEastern MediterraneanErdoğanGazaHoly SitesIsraelJerusalemNATONetanyahuTel AvivThird TempleTürkiyeU.S.
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Mehmet Öğütçü
28 May 2025, Wednesday / Published in Politics

Proving it can disrupt the game if not invited: unseen power of Türkiye

In geopolitics, power is no longer measured solely by having a seat at the table, but by one’s ability to disrupt it if excluded. Today, Türkiye is demonstrating precisely that: an increasingly agile power whose influence cannot be ignored, even when it is not formally included. Some nations are invited to shape the game. Others
ArmeniaAzerbaijanEastern MediterraneanLibyaRussia-UkraineSyriaTurkish foreign policy
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Mehmet Öğütçü
30 April 2025, Wednesday / Published in Economy

Kirkuk–Baniyas: the oil pipeline project that could sideline Türkiye

The energy map of the Middle East may be redrawn with the revival of the Kirkuk–Baniyas oil pipeline—a move that could sideline Türkiye. Iraq’s decision to bring back to life the pipeline connecting Kirkuk with Syria’s Mediterranean port city of Baniyas is not merely an infrastructure investment; it’s a strategic maneuver capable of shifting the
BaniyasiraqKirkukoil pipelineSyriaTurkeyTürkiye
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Mehmet Öğütçü
24 March 2025, Monday / Published in Politics

İmamoğlu Crisis in Türkiye escalating political and economic risks

Türkiye stands at a critical juncture in its political journey. The legal actions, political pressures, and the arrest and imprisonment of İstanbul Metropolitan Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu on March 23rd yesterday not only aim to block his path to the presidency but are poised to reshape the country’s political landscape in profound ways. This issue, originally
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Mehmet Öğütçü
15 February 2025, Saturday / Published in Politics

Türkiye’s top business group leader under investigation: Listening or silencing business?

A formal investigation has been launched against Mehmet Ömer Arif Aras, President of the High Advisory Council (YİK) of the Turkish Industry and Business Association (TÜSİAD), based on the views and criticisms he expressed during the association’s general assembly. Having served in the public sector, international organizations, and now in private industry for many years—witnessing
probetüsiad
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Mehmet Öğütçü
12 February 2025, Wednesday / Published in Economy, Politics

Turkmenistan-Türkiye natural gas deal: Volume, price and risks remain uncertain

Despite dozens of agreements and protocols signed over the years between Türkiye and Turkmenistan, we have yet to see the gas molecules flow. However, according to the announcement by Energy and Natural Resources Minister Alparslan Bayraktar, if no setbacks occur, natural gas from Turkmenistan will begin flowing to Türkiye starting March 1st through a new
energyenergy politicsLNGnatural gasTurkeyTürkiyeturkmenturkmenistan
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  • ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix23 January 2026
  • Barrack Declares SDF’s Mission Over, Easing Türkiye-U.S. Strains21 January 2026
  • Ceasefire in Syria: The SDF Failed, Shara Won Ankara Satisfied19 January 2026
  • Greece’s Statements on the Aegean and Türkiye’s Strategic Calm19 January 2026
  • US Intervention in Venezuela: The Entropy of International Law15 January 2026
  • Ankara: Mazlum Abdi Sought Compromise in Aleppo, Kandil Blocked It11 January 2026
  • Why Trump’s Greenland Ambition Matters for NATO, China, Russia and Türkiye6 January 2026
  • Uneasy Turkish Silence on the U.S. Muscling in on Venezuela6 January 2026
  • Is Greece an ally of Türkiye or of Israel?26 December 2025
  • A Dangerous Game: Israel–Greece–Southern Cyprus vs. Türkiye24 December 2025
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