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Murat Yetkin
01 April 2024, Monday / Published in Politics

Turkish local elections: Three reasons why Erdoğan lost to a groundswell

The unofficial results of the March 31 local elections in Türkiye have ushered in a significant shift in the country’s political landscape. The Republican People’s Party (CHP) has seen a notable increase in its nationwide vote share, enabling it to assume control in cities where it has never held power before. With 61 million voters
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Murat Yetkin
30 March 2024, Saturday / Published in Politics

Identity politics or economic realities: Turkish local elections and beyond

On March 31, Türkiye will once again exercise its democratic right to vote in local government elections. Yet, this election transcends mere local political dynamics; it stands as a pivotal moment shaping the trajectory of Turkish politics at large. In the wake of the May 23 general elections, Türkiye’s political landscape is undergoing significant shifts,
31 MarchAnkaraelectionsErdoğanİmamoğluİstanbulkurumlocal electionsMurat KurumTurkeyTurkish politicsTürkiye
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Murat Yetkin
29 March 2024, Friday / Published in Politics

Surmounting obstacles: Potential impact of Imamoğlu’s victory

We are heading towards one of the most unfair and unequal elections in our history on March 31st. Despite its being a local elections, its results will have profound effects on Turkish poltical landscape, especially in Istanbul. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan seems to have mobilized the entire state machinery to prevent the re-election of Istanbul’s
AKPCHPEkrem İmamoğluErdoğanİstanbullocal electionsMurat KurumpoliticsTurkeyTurkish politics
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Murat Yetkin
27 March 2024, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors

ISIS Moscow attack: A shift in targets, strategy or sponsor?

Since the bloody attack on the concert hall in Moscow, I have been speaking with sources from the intelligence, security, and diplomatic circles. The point they all converge on is that the March 22 attack of the ISIS Khorasan province branch, (ISIS-K) which killed 139 people in Moscow, differs from known ISIS actions in terms
attackCrocous City Hallisisisis-kKhorasanMoscowmoscow attackRussiaTerrorTurkeyTürkiye
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Murat Yetkin
26 March 2024, Tuesday / Published in Politics

The Moscow attackers’ path from Türkiye to Russia: More questions

Russian authorities announced that as of the evening of March 25th, the number of casualties from the attack on a concert hall in Moscow on the evening of March 22 had reached 139, with nearly 140 injured. Three days after the attack, Russian President Vladimir Putin acknowledged that “radical Islamists” carried out the attack, which
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Murat Yetkin
25 March 2024, Monday / Published in Politics

Erdoğan couldn’t get half of the support he targeted in Istanbul rally

Turkish President Tayyip Erdoğan complained on March 24 that the participation to his “Great İstanbul Again” rally ahead of the March 31 local elections was less than the half of what he had expected. In fact, he should be grateful that hundreds and thousand of his supporters were there despite the disappointment of the ongoing
31 MarchAK PartiEkrem İmamoğluelectionsİstanbullocal electionsMurat KurumrallyTurkeyturkish local elections
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Murat Yetkin
22 March 2024, Friday / Published in Politics

Pro-Kurdish DEM was hoping a “dialogue call” but PKK called for war

Last weekend, Murat Karayılan, one of the leaders of the outlawed Kurdistan Worker’s Party (PKK), announced that he would deliver “good news” soon, which drew attention to what he would reveal. On one hand, Newroz was approaching, and Kurdish-issue focused People’s Equality and Democracy Party (DEM) had organized rallies spreading throughout the week, while on
DEMKurdishLeyla ZanaMurat KarayılanPKKTurkish electionsTurkish UAVs
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Murat Yetkin
20 March 2024, Wednesday / Published in Politics

Far-reaching consequences: two scenarios of Istanbul’s Mayoral race

Ever since Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan launched the election campaign with the motto “reconquering Istanbul,” it has been clear that the real competition in the upcoming March 31 local elections will be for the Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality. Now, with almost a week left until the election, this race is neck and neck. It is
AnkaraCHPErdoğanİmamoğluİstanbullocal electionsMarch 31TurkeyTurkish domestic politicsTurkish politicsTürkiye
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Murat Yetkin
15 March 2024, Friday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Potential Türkiye-Iraq agreement: A game-changer in the Middle East

Top-level Turkish security delegation’s visit to Baghdad on March 14 should be considered as a significant step towards a comprehensive Türkiye Iraq agreement ahead of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s expected visit to Iraq in April after 12 years. The rapprochement and establishment of strategic political and economic relations between Türkiye and Iraq appear to
bağdatiraqMiddle EastPKKsecuritySyriaTerrorTurkeyTürkiyeUS
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Murat Yetkin
15 March 2024, Friday / Published in Politics

Behind the scenes: Recent Dollar surge and decoding Şimşek’s statement

  On March 11th, Monday, the Turkish Lira hit a record low against the US dollar; at one point, 1 dollar surpassed 32 lira. Similarly, the British Pound exceeded 41 lira, and the Euro went over 35 lira, prompting a statement from the Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek. There was no apparent reason for
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  • Türkiye Should Settle the Blue Homeland Dispute with Greece and Make Progress with the EU20 May 2026
  • The Meeting at the British Embassy and NATO’s Ankara Summit15 May 2026
  • What Does Türkiye’s Intercontinental Ballistic Missile-ICBM-Announcement Mean?7 May 2026
  • July Threshold in Türkiye–EU Tensions: What Did Erdoğan Really Say, and What Should Be Done?5 May 2026
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