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The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs: Reporting and analysis of major political and economic developments in the Middle East, Turkey being a key player in the region.

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Murat Yetkin
23 January 2026, Friday / Published in Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix

In mathematics, when solving systems of equations with multiple unknowns, there is the concept of a “temporary variable,” or in the terminology of statistics and economics, a “dummy variable.” If the number of equations you need to solve exceeds the number of variables, you invent variables to fill the gaps in the matrix. Once a
isisMiddle East GeopoliticsPKKSDFSyria
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Murat Yetkin
19 January 2026, Monday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs

Ceasefire in Syria: The SDF Failed, Shara Won Ankara Satisfied

  After the Syrian army pushed back SDF forces during a military operation that has been ongoing for the past two weeks, Syrian President Ahmed Shara announced on the evening of January 18 that a ceasefire had been reached with the SDF in northeastern Syria. According to the ceasefire agreement, the SDF will hand over
Ceasefire SyriaPKKSDFTom BarrackTürkiye-Syria
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Mehmet Öğütçü
07 December 2025, Sunday / Published in The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Can Türkiye and Israel Afford a Permanent Rupture?

Türkiye and Israel are weathering one of the most acrimonious periods in their modern diplomatic history. The humanitarian catastrophe in Gaza, Israel’s increasingly assertive posture in Syria, its strategic alignment with Greece and the Greek Cypriot administration, and the heightened pressure from influential segments of the US Jewish lobby on Ankara have all contributed to
Türkiye-Israel
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Mehmet Öğütçü
18 September 2025, Thursday / Published in The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs

Erdoğan-Netanyahu Jerusalem clash: Is Türkiye-Israel conflict looming?

The Erdoğan–Netanyahu confrontation is no longer just a war of words. It reflects a deeper struggle shaped by the contested status of Jerusalem, energy rivalries in the Eastern Mediterranean, and U.S. unwavering support for Israel. The only way out lies in a hard-nosed approach to deterrence, balanced by sober diplomacy. From words to weapons For
Al-AqsaEastern MediterraneanErdoğanGazaHoly SitesIsraelJerusalemNATONetanyahuTel AvivThird TempleTürkiyeU.S.
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Murat Yetkin
16 September 2025, Tuesday / Published in The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Netanyahu admits isolation, Erdoğan calls for economic sanctions

  U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio poured fuel on the fire with his remarks at a joint press conference with Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu in Israel following the Qatar operation. According to Rubio, efforts to recognize the State of Palestine were “emboldening Hamas”. Rubio who was already emboldening Netanyahu’s expansionist aggression with this visit
Arab LEagueCENTCOMDohaeconomic isolationEurovisionHamasIsraelNetanyahuOrganization of Islamic CooperationPatriot missilesPresident ErdoğanQatarRubiosanctionsState Of PalestineTwo-State solutionUN General Assembly
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Murat Yetkin
11 October 2024, Friday / Published in Politics, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs

Türkiye mulls new strategy on Kurdish issue

On the same day that the Chief Legal Advisor to the Turkish Presidency, Mehmet Uçum, said “the state does not repeat a process that fails to yield results,” journalist Amberin Zaman, known for her deep Kurdish and American sources, made an intriguing claim on the Al-Monitor news site. According to her report, which she claims
DEMDEM PartyKurdishMHPPKKTurkeyTürkiye
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Murat Yetkin
15 March 2024, Friday / Published in Politics, Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Potential Türkiye-Iraq agreement: A game-changer in the Middle East

Top-level Turkish security delegation’s visit to Baghdad on March 14 should be considered as a significant step towards a comprehensive Türkiye Iraq agreement ahead of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s expected visit to Iraq in April after 12 years. The rapprochement and establishment of strategic political and economic relations between Türkiye and Iraq appear to
bağdatiraqMiddle EastPKKsecuritySyriaTerrorTurkeyTürkiyeUS
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Murat Yetkin
31 July 2020, Friday / Published in Politics, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs

What is not told us in foreign policy

The government is holding the Turkish public opinion with agendas like reopening Hagia Sophia as a mosque, the debate about the Istanbul Convention against violence against women, internet bans. But this does not mean that nothing is happening in foreign policy; the usual subject to distract attention from difficulties in the economy. On the contrary,
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Murat Yetkin
13 January 2020, Monday / Published in Politics, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs

Libya: winners, losers and the outlook

Now that Libya’s Eastern and Western neighbours, Egypt and Algeria, have also declared their supports for Turkey and Russia’s call made on January 8 for a ceasefire in Libya from January 12, the prospect of war in the Mediterranean has been replaced by the prospect of the peace talks to be held in Germany.It looks
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Murat Yetkin
06 January 2020, Monday / Published in Politics, The Middle East Political and Economic Affairs

How will the U.S.-Iran crisis affect Turkey?

It appears Turkish President Tayyip Erdoğan is feeling highly disgruntled and resentful of U.S. President Donald Trump for not notifying him in advance that they were going to shoot Iranian commander Qasem Soleimani. He expressed his feelings on the evening of January 5 as such: “We had a conversation with Trump on that evening; this
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  • Casus Belli Ahead of Mitsotakis–Erdoğan Talks?”26 January 2026
  • ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix23 January 2026
  • Barrack Declares SDF’s Mission Over, Easing Türkiye-U.S. Strains21 January 2026
  • Ceasefire in Syria: The SDF Failed, Shara Won Ankara Satisfied19 January 2026
  • Greece’s Statements on the Aegean and Türkiye’s Strategic Calm19 January 2026
  • US Intervention in Venezuela: The Entropy of International Law15 January 2026
  • Ankara: Mazlum Abdi Sought Compromise in Aleppo, Kandil Blocked It11 January 2026
  • Why Trump’s Greenland Ambition Matters for NATO, China, Russia and Türkiye6 January 2026
  • Uneasy Turkish Silence on the U.S. Muscling in on Venezuela6 January 2026
  • Is Greece an ally of Türkiye or of Israel?26 December 2025
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