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Turkish Domestic Politics: Analysis and forecast on all relevant developments and insight about Turkish politics with its repercussions in its neighboring countries

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Yusuf Kanlı
21 October 2025, Tuesday / Published in Politics

Cyprus: What now? Erhürman’s Victory and the Four Fronts of Change

The Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) ushered in a new era Sunday evening, a new political reality — one that is less about revolution than restoration. With Tufan Erhürman’s sweeping victory — 62.8 percent of the vote to 35.8 percent for incumbent Ersin Tatar — the island’s northern half has decisively rejected polarisation, theatrics,
Crans-MontanaCyprusNikos ChristodoulidesTRNCTufan ErhürmanTurkish Cypriots
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YetkinReport
20 October 2025, Monday / Published in Politics

Turkish Cypriots Pick Opposition Leader as TRNC President, Despite Ankara

Tufan Erhürman, the leader of the opposition Republican Turkish Party (CTP), won the presidential election in the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) by a significant margin. According to unofficial results, Erhürman received 62.8% of the votes in the October 19 election, which saw a turnout of 63%, while incumbent President Ersin Tatar remained at
CTPCyprusErsin TatarTRNCTufan ErhürmanTurkish Cypriots
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Yusuf Kanlı
17 October 2025, Friday / Published in Politics

TRNC at the Crossroads: The Stakes Behind the Turkish Cypriot Vote

The upcoming Oct. 19 presidential election in the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC), has long ceased to be a mere leadership contest. It has become a referendum on identity and direction: whether the Turkish Cypriot community will consolidate its pursuit of sovereign equality and the two-state model, or re-engage with the United Nations framework
Erhürmaninstitutional autonomyresults-oriented negotiationssovereign equalityTatarTRNCTurkish CypriotsTurkish Republic of Northern Cyprus
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Mehmet Öğütçü
16 October 2025, Thursday / Published in Economy, Politics

The New Great Game: Rare Earth Elements and Turkish Position

My generation learned about energy geopolitics through oil. We witnessed oil wars, embargoes, tanker crises, the political power of OPEC, and how the United States reshaped the world through energy. Then came natural gas. It was called a “transition fuel,” but it quickly turned into a new tool of strategic dependency. Today, however, we stand
ChinaErdoğan-Trump meetingMineral WarsRare Earth ElementsTürkiyeU.S.
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Murat Yetkin
16 October 2025, Thursday / Published in Politics

Pax Trumpiana and the Turkish Guarantorship of Trump’s Gaza Plan

On October 13, Turkish President Tayyip Erdoğan signed a Declaration of Intent in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt, alongside U.S. President Donald Trump, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, and Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, pledging a commitment to “joint implementation.” The ceasefire between Israel and Hamas—achieved with Trump’s assertive involvement on behalf of the
Demilitarized ZoneErdoğanGazaHamasPax TrumpianaThe Trump Declaration for Enduring Peace and Prosperity.TrumpTurkish Guarantorship
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Mehmet Öğütçü
29 September 2025, Monday / Published in Economy, Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

US-Turkish LNG Deal: Let the Numbers and Geopolitics Speak

The 20-year Turkish-US deal signed in Washington on September 25 during Turkish President Tayyip Erdoğan’s meeting with US President Donald Trump marks a new chapter in energy and geopolitics balance. The agreement between BOTAŞ and US producers is more than a long-term supply contract; it is a clear signal of Türkiye’s determination to reduce dependence
BOTAŞgeopoliticsLNGnatural gasPipeline GasTürkiyeU.S.
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Murat Yetkin
17 September 2025, Wednesday / Published in Politics

Gaza Genocide and Two Faces of Humanity: Fazıl Say and Friedrich Merz

A few hours after German Chancellor Friedrich Merz declared a war against the “new anti-Semitism” while trying to hold back tears at the Reichenbachstrasse Synagogue in Munich on September 16, world-renowned Turkish pianist and composer Fazıl Say made a clear statement on what is meant by this “new anti-Semitism” definition. Say, who has experienced the
anti-semitismBerlin PhilharmonicClassical Music InstitutionsFazıl SaygenocideGermanyHamasIsraelmass exterminationMerzoppressionPalestinianReichenbachstrasse SynagogueState Of Palestine
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Murat Yetkin
16 September 2025, Tuesday / Published in Politics

Patriarch Bartholomew Meets Trump. Will President Erdoğan too?

On September 15, while domestic attention in Türkiye was focused on the CHP’s “absolute nullity” case, U.S. President Donald Trump received Greek Orthodox Ecumenical Patriarch Bartholomew and his delegation at the White House. The Patriarch’s itinerary for September 16 included a breakfast at the Turkish Embassy, a luncheon at the Greek Embassy, and a dinner
Archbishop of North AmericaBartholomewChristian minorities in TurkeyEcumenical PatriarchElpidophorosErdoğan-Trump meetingHalki SeminaryPresident ErdoğanTrumpTürkiyeUkraineUN General Assembly
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Murat Yetkin
16 September 2025, Tuesday / Published in Politics

The Postponement of Absolute Nullity and an Applause Barometer of CHP

  The Ankara 42nd Civil Court of First Instance postponed the hearing in the case seeking to declare the 2023 Congress, where the Turkish main opposition CHP delegates elected Özgür Özel instead of Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu, “absolutely null and void” until October 24. It is reported that the judge wants to see the results of the
actionAk PartyCHPDilek İmamoğluEkrem İmamoğluHikmet ÇetinMahmut TanalMansur YavaşMuharrem İncenot only rallyÖzgür ÇelikÖzgür ÖzelPresident ErdoğanZeydan Karalar
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Murat Yetkin
05 September 2025, Friday / Published in Politics

Dangerous scenarios in Ankara

Among the political destruction scenarios discussed in Ankara, the most dangerous one for the future of Türkiye’s political life is as follows: • The precedent of dismissing the İstanbul Provincial Chairmanship is applied to the case for canceling the 2023 Congress of the main opposition CHP when delegates choose Özgür Özel to replace Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu
CHPelectionsErdoğanTurkish politics
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  • Munich: The EU’s Effort to Counter U.S. Pressure and Türkiye’s Position15 February 2026
  • What Erdoğan’s Hardline Appointments to Justice and Interior Reveal11 February 2026
  • Why the Festive Mood When There Are No Concrete Signals from the EU?8 February 2026
  • If Öcalan Is Granted the Right to Hope, It Will Also Apply to Demirtaş and Kavala6 February 2026
  • US–Iran Talks Set for Istanbul, With Nerves on Edge3 February 2026
  • Turkish Bosses Knock on the EU Door but Erdoğan Has a Key, Too2 February 2026
  • A Strategic Choice: Why Letters to Brussels No Longer Move the Needle1 February 2026
  • Casus Belli Ahead of Mitsotakis–Erdoğan Talks?”26 January 2026
  • ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix23 January 2026
  • Barrack Declares SDF’s Mission Over, Easing Türkiye-U.S. Strains21 January 2026
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