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Murat Yetkin
06 January 2026, Tuesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Uneasy Turkish Silence on the U.S. Muscling in on Venezuela

The reactions—both spoken and unspoken—of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Türkiye’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) following U.S. President Donald Trump’s abduction of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro reveal more than diplomatic caution. They point to deep unease in Ankara’s relations with Washington. Trump’s recent posture—issuing implicit threats to countries from Iran to Cuba, Colombia
MaduroTrumpTürkiyeTürkiye-U.S.Türkiye-VenezuelaU.S.
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Murat Yetkin
26 December 2025, Friday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Is Greece an ally of Türkiye or of Israel?

Ankara did not take seriously—did not even consider a threat—the attempt by Israel, Greece, and Southern Cyprus to form an alliance against Türkiye. On December 24, President Tayyip Erdoğan described the statements made by the three leaders in Jerusalem on December 22 as “tin clatter” and a “provocation” that Türkiye would not fall for. The
GreeceIsraelNATOSouthern Cyprus
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Murat Yetkin
24 December 2025, Wednesday / Published in Politics, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

A Dangerous Game: Israel–Greece–Southern Cyprus vs. Türkiye

On December 22, the very day Ankara virtually launched an SDF-focused diplomatic offensive toward Damascus, Israel formed an anti-Türkiye alliance together with the governments of Greece and Southern Cyprus. As Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, Minister of National Defense Yaşar Güler, and National Intelligence Organization (MİT) Director İbrahim Kalın were meeting in Damascus with President Ahmed
GreeceIMECIsraelLebanonSDFSouthern CyprusSyriaTRNC
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Murat Yetkin
14 December 2025, Sunday / Published in Terrorism and counter-terrorism: Turkey and neighbors, Turkish Foreign Relations Analysis Forecast

Ankara Hardens Its Stance as SDF and Israel Challenge Syria Policy

Tension over Syria is rising in Ankara on two interconnected levels. One is the military pressure Israel is exerting on the Ahmed al-Shara administration and on Syria’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. The other is the SDF’s reluctance to take responsibility for the disarmament process—acting as if it has no connection whatsoever with the PKK—while keeping
PKKSDFSyriaTerror-Free TürkiyeTürkiye-Israel
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Murat Yetkin
08 December 2025, Monday / Published in Politics

Three serious warnings from Ankara to the PKK via the SDF: the wind may turn

As Syria’s new regime completes its first year on Dec 8, Ankara has sent three warning messages—via the SDF to the PKK and to the SDF’s patron, the United States—indicating that “the wind may turn” if the current course continues: 1. Statements by Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan at the Doha Forum 2. Visits to Damascus
IsraelPKKSDFSyriaTerror-freeterrorismTurkishTürkiye
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Murat Yetkin
05 December 2025, Friday / Published in Politics

Will Three Amendments Secure DEM’s Support for a New Constitution?

  TBMM Commission’s 4 December Meeting Seen as Critical for 2026 Phase of “Terror-Free Türkiye” The 4 December meeting of the Turkish Grand National Assembly (TBMM) Commission is viewed as a crucial milestone for the AK Party–MHP alliance’s “Terror-Free Türkiye” initiative as it enters the first half of 2026. In his opening remarks on 5
DEM Partynew constitutionTBMM Commission
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Murat Yetkin
05 December 2025, Friday / Published in Politics

CHP Operations Are Infecting the Process of a Terror-Free Türkiye

A workshop titled “Looking Together Toward a Shared Future” was held in Ankara on 1 December, bringing together around 60 representatives from political parties, business groups, civil society, research organizations, and the media. The event was jointly organized by the Diyarbakır-based Rawest and Kurdish Studies Center and the İzmir-based Bayetav. Discussions focused on the political,
DEM PartyÖcalanPKKSyriaTerror-Free Türkiye
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Murat Yetkin
26 November 2025, Wednesday / Published in Politics

“Pope Leo XIV’s Visit to Türkiye and Ankara’s Expectations”

Pope Leo XIV, who will visit Türkiye between 27–30 November, carries two roles: one as the Head of the Vatican State, and the other as the Spiritual Leader of Catholic Christians. Ankara attaches importance to the fact that Pope Leo XIV is making his first official foreign trip to Türkiye and is pleased about it.
ecumenicalEcumenical Patriarch BartholomewEcumenical Unity DeclarationHalki SeminaryİznikNicaeaPope Leo XIVTürkiye
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Murat Yetkin
17 November 2025, Monday / Published in Politics

The İmamoğlu Indictment and the Questions It Raises

The indictment titled “Ekrem İmamoğlu Profit-Driven Criminal Organization” prepared by Istanbul Chief Public Prosecutor Akın Gürlek—released on 11 November—is poised to enter the history of political trials worldwide. Although part of the corruption allegations rely on witness statements filled with phrases like “it happened, I heard,” often supported only by secondary data such as mobile
CHPİmamoğlu İndictment
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Murat Yetkin
17 November 2025, Monday / Published in Economy, Politics

EU-Türkiye: Political Hurdles, Business Pushes On

Everyone is aware that the main obstacle to rapprochement between Türkiye and the European Union is political. For years it was Osman Kavala, Selahattin Demirtaş, the European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) rulings—now the Ekrem İmamoğlu case has been added on top of all that, increasing the barriers to meeting the Copenhagen Political Criteria, which
DEİKEU-Türkiye Business Summit
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  • What Erdoğan’s Hardline Appointments to Justice and Interior Reveal11 February 2026
  • Why the Festive Mood When There Are No Concrete Signals from the EU?8 February 2026
  • If Öcalan Is Granted the Right to Hope, It Will Also Apply to Demirtaş and Kavala6 February 2026
  • US–Iran Talks Set for Istanbul, With Nerves on Edge3 February 2026
  • Turkish Bosses Knock on the EU Door but Erdoğan Has a Key, Too2 February 2026
  • A Strategic Choice: Why Letters to Brussels No Longer Move the Needle1 February 2026
  • Casus Belli Ahead of Mitsotakis–Erdoğan Talks?”26 January 2026
  • ISIS and SDF: Two Dummy Variables and the Middle East Matrix23 January 2026
  • Barrack Declares SDF’s Mission Over, Easing Türkiye-U.S. Strains21 January 2026
  • Ceasefire in Syria: The SDF Failed, Shara Won Ankara Satisfied19 January 2026
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